View Full Version : Chad Ford's Trade Watch Series:

01-28-2009, 04:32 PM
Chad Ford of ESPN has started writing a series of articles pertaining to the potential players in the NBA that may be dealt this year. I will update as soon as new articles are made available to me.

1. Top PGs on the Bock
2. Top Wings on the Block
3. Top Big Men on the Bock


1. Written on January 27, 2009


Trade Watch: Top PGs on the block

With the Feb. 19 trade deadline fast approaching, trade talk will get hotter and hotter over the next few weeks. There are multiple motivations for pulling a trade-deadline deal. A few contenders are looking for the missing piece to put them over the top. Some teams are looking to avoid paying the luxury tax or trying to get under the cap for this summer or the more coveted summer of 2010. And other teams are just looking to build for the future.

After spending weeks on the phone trying to get a handle on which players are available, we've put together a list of who could be moved before the trade deadline. It's not the easiest task since most general managers claim that no one on their team is on the block -- they are just "listening" to other teams' offers.

That means this information comes largely from two sources: GMs who tell us what other teams are offering them, and NBA player agents who often play important roles in getting their clients moved this time of year.

While most of the players will not be moved by the trade deadline, if history repeats itself, several will.
Today we start with one of the most coveted positions this time of year: point guards. We've ranked them in order of the likelihood they are moved by the trade deadline. In the coming days we'll roll out the top available wings and big men as well.

Top PGs on the block

Raymond Felton (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2753), Bobcats

Felton is a talented point guard, but he doesn't fit the pass-first mold that Larry Brown wants in his point guards. With rookie D.J. Augustin (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3415) looking like the point guard of the future in Charlotte, the chances Felton heads somewhere else are pretty high. The Bobcats would like to get something for him before he hits restricted free agency this summer and have been shopping him since before the 2008 draft. They tried to swap Felton for T.J. Ford (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1979) twice in June -- once with the Raptors and once with the Pacers. More recently, they almost had a deal completed with Dallas a few weeks ago, but an Augustin abdominal strain forced them to pull back. With Augustin feeling better and nearing a return, the Bobcats could be ready to pull the trigger again.
Chance of trade: 75 percent

Mike Conley (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3195), Grizzlies
Some scratched their heads when the Grizzlies drafted Conley with the No. 4 pick in the 2007 draft. While Conley was a coveted draft prospect, the team was already loaded at the point guard position and it was unclear how he would fit. Eighteen months later, Conley still hasn't found his groove in Memphis. Conley is a good distributor and an excellent defender, but his shaky shooting has made him a liability. And with O.J. Mayo (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3450) now dominating the ball, Conley is often left standing around on offense.
The Grizzlies would like to move Mayo to the 1 or at the very least get another guard who can stroke the basketball. They turned down a Blazers offer of Travis Outlaw (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2015) for Conley this past summer and have generally been looking for more. I'm not sure they'll be able to get it.
A rumored trade of Ramon Sessions (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3231) and Joe Alexander (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3411) for Conley never materialized, in part because right now Sessions is a better player. But long term, Conley still has a lot of value in the right system.
Chance of trade: 65 percent

Earl Watson (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1027), Thunder
Watson may not be the most talented player on the list, but there are two big reasons he is coveted. First, his contract expires in the summer of 2010. Second, the Thunder aren't asking for much. Oklahoma City has its point guard of the future, Russell Westbrook (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3468), and is primarily interested in getting below the cap. So an offer of an expiring contract or a young player who fills a need could get a deal done.
Chance of trade: 55 percent

Leandro Barbosa (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2166), Suns
Barbosa has played an important role off the bench for the Suns for years, but the team is sputtering and just about everyone appears to be on the table in Phoenix. While Amare Stoudemire (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1727) and even Steve Nash (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=592) appear in trade rumors, Barbosa is the more likely target. Barbosa's diminishing role on the team is a telltale sign that head coach Terry Porter (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=668) has lost faith in him. Still, Barbosa is young and has value: He isn't the pure point guard that some teams covet, but his scoring ability, energy and reasonable contract make him a hot name. It appears the Suns would be willing to part with him in return for a veteran who is more committed on the defensive end.
Chance of trade: 50 percent

Nate Robinson (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2782), Knicks
It might surprise some to learn that Robinson is second only to rookie Danilo Gallinari (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3428) in plus/minus for the Knicks at the moment. Watch a Knicks game and you'll see why. Robinson is well-suited for head coach Mike D'Antoni's up-tempo style and has played a critical role off the bench this season. The problem for the Knicks is that Robinson hits restricted free agency this summer and the Knicks aren't inclined to pay him. They are trying to free up as much money as possible for the summer of 2010 and Robinson isn't worth risking that flexibility to lose out on a shot at LeBron and friends. If the Knicks can get a future first-round pick for him or if they can use him to sweeten an Eddy Curry (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=990) package for an expiring contract, they'll have to consider dealing him.
Chance of trade: 40 percent

Monta Ellis (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2751), Warriors
Ellis' infamous mo-ped injury got him in hot water with Golden State, which is still holding out the right to terminate his contract if he doesn't fully recover. That hasn't sat well with Ellis' camp, which would jump at the opportunity to part ways. A lot of teams will have interest in Ellis if the Warriors want to cut ties. The problem for Ellis is that he's a base-year compensation player and will have to be part of a larger deal to be traded before the deadline.
Chance of trade: 35 percent

Jamaal Tinsley (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1024), Pacers
There is no denying that Tinsley is on the block. The Pacers did not allow him to join the team during training camp and have been working with his agent, Raymond Brothers, to move him all season. According to all parties involved, Tinsley is totally healthy and in decent shape. Given his undeniable talent, that should have a number of teams seriously interested. However, the issue is twofold. One is his contract: Tinsley still has two years and $14.7 million left on his deal after this season. Second is the combination of his injury history and off-court track record. In the past six seasons, he has started more than 43 games only once. And his well-publicized off-court issues have given a number of teams pause. Still, Tinsley could be the answer for teams -- like Miami -- that are looking for help.
Chance of trade: 30 percent

Andre Miller (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=557), Sixers
Miller may be the most attractive player on the list for two reasons. One, he's a very talented veteran who can immediately step in and contribute on a number of contenders. Two, he's in the last year of his contract, which means teams don't have to commit long-term. With the Sixers hovering around .500 and not looking like the title contenders we thought they would be, it might be time for the Sixers to make a move for the future. While Miller won't bring them back an All-Star in return, he could get them a future pick or another player who could help them down the road.
It's not hard to see that the Sixers' future looks brighter with their youth, not their veterans. Miller might be the first to go, and it's not inconceivable that Elton Brand (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=91) is next.
Chance of trade: 25 percent

Baron Davis (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=194), Clippers
After playing in all 82 games last season and securing a hefty contract from the Clippers, Davis is back on the shelf -- he hasn't played at all in January because of tailbone and hamstring injuries. With questions surrounding Davis' lack of motivation when his team is losing, who knows when he'll return from injury? I doubt Mike Dunleavy would hesitate to move him if he could. On the right team -- i.e., a contender -- Davis obviously has a lot to offer. But who's picking up that extra four years and $53 million on his contract? In this economic environment, the Clippers will struggle to find takers.
Chance of trade: 15 percent

Kirk Hinrich (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1981), Bulls
By most accounts, Hinrich should be higher on the list. The Bulls have their point guard of the future in Derrick Rose (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3456), and Hinrich has real value in the league. The problem is, I don't think John Paxson can pull the trigger because he's a Hinrich fan. And on a team that's loaded with youth, Hinrich is a rare veteran presence. I think the Bulls will most likely hang on to Hinrich for the rest of the season. However, the chances he gets traded will go up this summer, especially if there's a new GM running the show in Chicago by then.
Chance of trade: 10 percent

Others to watch: Marcus Banks (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2165), Heat; Jordan Farmar (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3002), Lakers; Jarrett Jack (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2768), Pacers; Stephon Marbury (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=509), Knicks; Sergio Rodriguez (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3025), Blazers; Marcus Williams (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3039), Warriors.

Chad Ford (http://insider.espn.go.com/insider/writeback?name=Chad+Ford) covers the NBA for ESPN Insider.


2. Written on January 28, 2009


Trade Watch: Top wings on the block

On Tuesday, we broke down the top point guards on the trading block (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/columns/story?columnist=ford_chad&page=TradeWatchPG-090127). Today, we turn to the wings -- shooting guards and small forwards -- who could be on the move. And there are a number of interesting players available at the moment. We spoke with a number of NBA general managers and player agents to get a take on who might be moved before the Feb. 19 trade deadline. While such an endeavor is far from an exact science, here's our take on who's available.

Top wings on the block

Shawn Marion (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=510), Heat
Marion has been at the top of the list of players most likely to be traded all season. Since the moment the Heat drafted Michael Beasley (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3418), it has been pretty clear the Heat have to move Marion this season or risk losing him for nothing this summer when he hits free agency. A number of teams are interested in his talent. The question is, are any of them willing to meet his salary demands this summer? The thought of that has scared off a number of would-be suitors. The Raptors have shown the most interest, but the Cavs and the Kings, among others, also are in the hunt.
Chance of trade: 80 percent

Mike Miller (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=558), Wolves
At first glance, getting Miller as part of the Kevin Love (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3449) trade this past summer looked like a coup for the Wolves. However, Miller hasn't fit in and reportedly has been miserable in Minnesota. While the Wolves publicly say there's nothing to the Miller trade rumors, a number of GMs around the league disagree. Miller's shooting ability and reasonable contract make him one of the most attractive trade candidates out there.
Chance of trade: 65 percent

Wally Szczerbiak (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=831), Cavs
There are a lot of expiring contracts out there, but none gets more attention than Szczerbiak's. The Cavs aren't interested in cap room right now. They want a championship. Everyone in Cleveland is crossing their fingers that some desperate GM will pull a Chris Wallace and give away an All-Star for cap relief and late first-round picks. More often than not, it doesn't happen. But with the economy turning sour and a scrum of teams trying to get under the cap in 2010, the Cavs might be able to pull it off.
Chance of trade: 60 percent

John Salmons (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1726), Kings
Salmons is having a career season, but he doesn't fit into the long-term future of the franchise. The Kings have been shopping him all season. Despite his talent, he's never really been known as a chemistry guy in either Philadelphia or Sacramento. His versatility, defense and ability to handle the ball have attracted a number of suitors. But buyers beware -- this guy has to start. Take him out of the starting lineup, and his numbers drop and his pouting increases.
Chance of trade: 55 percent

Vince Carter (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=136), Nets
Going into the season, no one predicted that Carter, at the age of 32, would put up All-Star numbers on a rebuilding team. But he has played his heart out and, with Devin Harris (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2382), has made the Nets respectable. Which means it's the perfect time for Rod Thorn and Kiki Vandeweghe to throw him a farewell party. Carter has garnered plenty of interest from a few championship contenders like Cleveland and Houston who see him as a nice veteran addition. The Nets should jump on any deal that gets them a combination of cap relief and picks. Getting the last three years and $51 million of his contract off their books has to be a priority right now.
Chance of trade: 45 percent

Marquis Daniels (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2200), Pacers
Daniels is one of the more under-the-radar trade prospects on this list. He is having one of the best seasons of his career, and he has a team option on his contract, which, in essence, is an expiring contract. With Mike Dunleavy (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1708) now back from injury and rookie Brandon Rush (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3457) waiting in the wings, Daniels is expendable. Daniels' appeal is two-fold. Not only can he help a team now, but he represents no long-term risk. For that reason, a number of GMs I spoke with listed Daniels as a player they have some interest in. I doubt the Pacers would mind packaging him, along with one of their other expiring contracts, if it could land them a young big man to pair with Danny Granger (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2760).
Chance of trade: 40 percent

Allen Iverson (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=366), Pistons
Everyone, including Joe Dumars, knew the Pistons were taking a big gamble when Dumars brought Iverson into the circle of trust. So far, the grand experiment hasn't turned out well. While the Pistons look like a playoff team, they no longer look like a serious contender for an NBA title. So, what do the Pistons do next? They can keep plugging along, let Iverson's contract come off the books and have around $15 million in cap space this summer. Or, they can be proactive and try to turn Iverson into more assets or possibly a veteran big to shore up their front line. While Iverson as a player doesn't hold the same appeal to many GMs anymore, he still is a great ticket draw and could make someone a lot of money.
Chance of trade: 25 percent

Josh Howard (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2006), Mavs
Mavs owner Mark Cuban has been pretty adament that he doesn't want to trade Howard, but there's enough buzz around the league to make you wonder whether some of it is a smoke screen. The Mavs, at best, are an early-first-round-exit playoff team. I don't think that's what Cuban had in mind when he mortgaged the future to get Jason Kidd (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=429) at last year's trade deadline. While I'm sure he'd prefer to move Jerry Stackhouse (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=802), Howard is the guy in whom teams are interested. If Cuban wants to make a big splash by the deadline, Howard has to be the guy to go.
Chance of trade: 20 percent

Lamar Odom (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=617), Lakers
Odom has been on the block for what seems like years. This season, there was a lot of talk that the Lakers would move him after his lackluster performance in the playoffs. The fact that Odom's deal expires at the end of the season also led to the belief that the Lakers would move him now, while they could get something in return. However, Odom is still in L.A., and the signals I'm getting are that he'll most likely stay there. Unless the Lakers get blown away with a trade offer, Odom's chances of swapping teams appear slim.
Chance of trade: 15 percent

Corey Maggette (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=497), Warriors
No one understood what the Warriors were thinking when they showered Maggette with a five-year, $48 million deal this summer. Not even the Warriors, apparently. (We could say the same thing about Stephen Jackson (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=378)'s deal.) Almost immediately, it became clear that the Warriors wouldn't mind getting out of Maggette's contract, and he has been on the block ever since. Maggette still is one of the best scorers in the league, but with his price tag, I'm not sure how much interest he will generate.
Chance of trade: 10 percent

Tracy McGrady (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=532), Rockets
Once again, T-Mac is nursing injuries and dampening the hopes of Rockets fans everywhere. This time, it seems like everyone has had enough. The problem is, what GM in his right mind would give up anything of value for T-Mac at this point? Isiah Thomas is no longer writing checks in New York. So the Rockets can try to shop him all they want, but unless they want bad contracts in return or another injury-prone former star like Jermaine O'Neal (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=615), I don't think they will pull it off.
Chance of trade: 5 percent

Others who might be moved: Travis Outlaw (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2015), Blazers; Jerry Stackhouse, Mavs; Larry Hughes (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=356), Bulls; Andres Nocioni (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2456), Bulls; Sasha Pavlovic (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2172), Cavs; Bobby Simmons (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1022), Nets; Linas Kleiza (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2770), Nuggets; Rashad McCants (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2777), Wolves; Adam Morrison (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3016), Bobcats.

Chad Ford (http://insider.espn.go.com/insider/writeback?name=Chad+Ford) covers the NBA for ESPN Insider.


3. Written on January 29, 2009


Trade Watch: Top big men on the block

[/URL]On Tuesday we broke down the [URL="http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/columns/story?columnist=ford_chad&page=TradeWatchPGs-090127"]top point guards on the trading block (http://myespn.go.com/conversation/story?id=3867651) and on Wednesday we did the same for the top wings (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/columns/story?columnist=ford_chad&page=TradeWatchWings-090128). Today we turn to the bigs -- power forwards and centers. They are typically the most coveted prizes in any deal, and because of that, blockbuster trades involving elite big men just don't happen very often. Still, there's an unusual amount of buzz this season concerning some pretty impressive ones. We spoke with a number of NBA general managers and player agents to get a take on who might be moved before the Feb. 19 trade deadline. Here's our take on who's available.

Top bigs on the block

Jermaine O'Neal (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=615), Raptors
O'Neal was traded last June. And now, with this trade deadline swirling, he is at the center of the storm again. The Raptors are ready to move him and develop Andrea Bargnani (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2987) at the 5. But can the Raptors find someone willing to pay the injury-prone O'Neal $30 million over the next season and a half? The Heat have shown the most interest. The Knicks and the Bulls also might make some sense.
Chance of trade: 60 percent

Marcus Camby (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=125), Clippers
Camby has been a strange fit in Los Angeles from the start. And with Zach Randolph (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1017) now at the 4 and Chris Kaman (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1982) also at the 5, Camby's long-term fit is a question mark. Given his appeal around the league as a rebounding and shot-blocking machine, he's drawing a lot of inquiries. A number of teams would love to have him, especially when you factor in that his salary will drop to less than $10 million next season. With the Clippers trying to save money any way they can, you've got to believe Camby has a good shot of moving before Feb. 19.
Chance of trade: 55 percent

Raef LaFrentz (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=454), Blazers
LaFrentz has what NBA GMs are calling a "super-expiring contract." Not only does his $12.7 million salary come off the books this summer, but insurance is paying 80 percent of it. Add in that the Blazers have other young players like Sergio Rodriguez (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3025), Channing Frye (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2754) and Travis Outlaw (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2015) whom they could throw in a deal, and a team looking to clear some cap space and develop young talent would have to take a hard look at a deal with Portland. The biggest question surrounding a Blazers deal at the moment: Does any GM in the league really want to do Blazers GM Kevin Pritchard any favors after his team threatened to sue all the owners in the league over the Darius Miles (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=550) fiasco? More than one GM has told me no.
Chance of trade: 50 percent

Brad Miller (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=556), Kings
Miller is big and can still be productive when he's healthy. While he's overpaid, the good news is that his contract is done in 2010. The Kings are willing to move him to create more time for Spencer Hawes (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3211). So do we have a taker? A team like the Pacers would be an obvious fit, but they can't afford to take on his salary. The Heat have been eyeing Miller. Ditto for the Bulls. But will trading for Miller really put either team over the top?
Chance of trade: 45 percent

David Lee (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2772), Knicks
Lee has been fantastic this season in Mike D'Antoni's system. The problem is the Knicks can't afford to pay him this summer when he hits restricted free agency. So the team is trying to figure out a way to either move another big contract like Eddy Curry (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=990)'s or (at the very least) Jared Jeffries (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1717)'. If they can't, they might have no choice but to move Lee. It will be a blow to the Knicks' rebuilding effort, but signing him to a deal worth $8 million a year could blow their chances of having enough room to lure LeBron James (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1966) and someone else in 2010.
Chance of trade: 40 percent

Antawn Jamison (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=385), Wizards
Jamison signed a four-year, $50 million extension this past summer. Jamison has been solid, but his team is terrible, and the Wizards are showing no signs of pulling out of this tailspin. If they can package Jamison's contract with Etan Thomas (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=851)' or Darius Songaila (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1784)'s for an expiring deal, it would save them a lot of money in the long run.
Chance of trade: 35 percent

Charlie Villanueva (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2792), Bucks
Villanueva was on the block before Michael Redd (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=692) tore his ACL. Now the team might have no choice but to keep him around. Without him, the entire scoring load would fall on Richard Jefferson (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1006) and Andrew Bogut (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2747). Villanueva is having the best season of his career and looks promising enough that the Bucks probably won't trade him. However, there is a caveat. Given the financial situation of small-market teams like the Bucks, can they afford to keep him? Their payroll is at $64 million next season before they decide what to do with Villanueva and Ramon Sessions (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3231). Will Herb Kohl be willing to fork over the cash for a team that looks like a borderline playoff team? If the answer is no, it's better to trade him now and package him with a salary they want to get rid of or trade him for assets.
Chance of trade: 30 percent

Carlos Boozer (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1703), Jazz
Boozer and the Jazz are in a predicament. Boozer was planning to opt out this summer, but an injury has put that plan in doubt. Meanwhile, Paul Millsap (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3015) has turned into a borderline All-Star and hits restricted free agency this summer. Can the Jazz afford to keep both Boozer and Millsap? Most GMs don't think so, with several expecting Millsap to get an offer that exceeds the midlevel exception. With the Jazz's payroll for next season coming very close to the luxury-tax threshold without factoring in Millsap's likely new contract, there's a problem. Several GMs are adamant that the Jazz will move Boozer. The problem is, no one wants to give up anything for him until they know he's healthy and know what his intentions are this summer. Whether that all gets resolved by the trade deadline or whether it spills over into the summer remains to be seen.
Chance of trade: 25 percent

Elton Brand (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=91), Sixers
The Sixers are experiencing quite a bit of buyer's remorse after giving Brand an $80 million contract this past summer. Brand has been awful in the early going. To make matters worse, he struggles to play the style the rest of the team wants to play. More and more, it's looking like a bad fit for both parties. I've heard rumblings over the past few weeks that the Sixers would let Brand go for expiring contracts and a future pick -- a pretty small price for the most coveted free agent of last summer. But will anyone want to take on his contract at this point? The Heat's Pat Riley has always been a fan. The Pistons are looking for a dominant big, too. A Chicago homecoming isn't out of the question either. And the Cavs might be willing to roll the dice, although that's a lot of money to gamble with. Will any GM or owner in the league have the guts to pull the trigger?
Chance of trade: 20 percent

Marvin Williams (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2797), Hawks
Williams starts at the 3 for the Hawks but can also play the 4 in a small-ball lineup. He is the guy the Hawks infamously took instead of Chris Paul (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2779) in 2005. While Williams has been solid, he hasn't been great. And the Hawks will have a tough decision to make with him hitting restricted free agency this summer. The team already is cash-strapped. Joe Johnson (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1007) and Josh Smith (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2411) have huge deals. Mike Bibby (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=61) will also be a free agent. Ditto for Josh Childress (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2373). And sooner than later, they're going to have to pay Al Horford (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3213).
All of that has led to some rumblings around the league that Williams is available in return for a lottery pick and a little cap relief. My source in Atlanta denies it, but it's something to keep an eye on.
Chance of trade: 15 percent

Amare Stoudemire (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1727), Suns
The Suns are the most talented mess in basketball. Some nights, they look like they can beat anyone. Other nights, they get outplayed by the Knicks. A lot of this has to do with a general malaise that has overcome the team. The Suns loved playing for Mike D'Antoni and the freedom he gave them. Terry Porter? Not so much. Stoudemire will become a free agent in 2010, and if things keep going south in Phoenix, the Suns stand a big chance of losing him. So GM Steve Kerr has a tough call to make. Do they fire the coach and bring in someone who can make the players happier? Or do they blow up the team and start rebuilding? If it's the latter, virtually every team in the league will be lined up for Stoudemire.
Chance of trade: 10 percent

Chris Bosh (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1977), Raptors
Speaking of messes, the one in Toronto might be the stickiest. It's looking clearer to outside observers that Bosh is pretty set on testing the free-agent waters in the summer of 2010. Given what the Raptors have and what other teams will have to offer, it's not a stretch to say the chances of the Raptors retaining him don't look so good right now. That leaves GM Bryan Colangelo in a tough position. Trade him and get criticized for giving away the franchise player. Don't trade him and get criticized for not being able to re-sign him. If the Raptors could get a blockbuster offer for Bosh, they probably would have to entertain it. Anything short of that and I think Colangelo will take his chances.
Chance of trade: 5 percent

Others who might be moved: Rasheed Wallace (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=883), Pistons; Samuel Dalembert (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=991), Sixers; Eddy Curry (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=990), Knicks; Darko Milicic (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2171), Grizzlies; Chris Wilcox (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1731), Thunder; Joe Smith (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=788), Thunder; Channing Frye, Blazers; Ike Diogu (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2750), Blazers; Sean May (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=2776), Bobcats; Drew Gooden (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=1711), Bulls; Tyrus Thomas (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3032), Bulls; Joakim Noah (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3224), Bulls; Rasho Nesterovic, Pacers; Jeff Foster (http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=250), Pacers.

Chad Ford (http://insider.espn.go.com/insider/writeback?name=Chad+Ford) covers the NBA for ESPN Insider.



01-28-2009, 04:41 PM
Since we've exhausted every scenario to try to get Mike Miller, Gerald Wallace, or Michael Redd and every scenario to try to get rid of Josh Howard... how about a different route?

Do you guys think Stack/Bass is enough to get Marquis? Maybe a reuniting with a good friend will help out Josh Howard?

Dirk/who cares?


01-28-2009, 04:49 PM
Out of anyone on that list, I want Lamar Odom or marquiese daniels or corey maggette or andre miller or mike miller. nothing else seems to catch my eye.

01-28-2009, 04:58 PM
I don't think Jho needs a buddy back here. Esp one that will smoke with him.

01-28-2009, 05:30 PM
I agree with Marquis back, pot sales would go up........not sure if the win total would go up though.

01-28-2009, 05:54 PM
If we can in anyway, the smartes thing to do here is GO after Monte and one of the other guard/ swing men for Josh and something else or go for a bigger trade with Josh and Kidd, but I would like to keep Kidd

Maybe Josh/Stack/cash or somethign to sweeten it up a bit for Monte and Maggette or Crawford

01-28-2009, 05:56 PM
I would have thought the lead story here would have been the fact that he only gives Josh a 20% chance of being traded....I guess not.

01-28-2009, 06:38 PM
I would love Monta here, but I don't see it happening. Let's hope I'm wrong.

01-28-2009, 07:57 PM
If the Warriors are looking to deal him that would be one gamble that I could get excited about. It wouldn't put us over the top but converting Howard into a young potential all-star is something.

01-28-2009, 08:12 PM
It seems like there is a perception of a hate/hate relationship between Ellis and the Warriors. I guess that is something to hold out hope for, but I wouldn't hold my breath on that.

01-28-2009, 08:23 PM
Monta would be a Devin lite. I'd like him here too.

01-28-2009, 08:30 PM
I'm surprised Hollinger hasn't come up with a statistical model to predict who is going to be traded. He loves making up nonsensical models.

01-29-2009, 03:45 AM
You know, maybe I'm thinking crazy because I've had a bit too much Amaretto, but I wouldn't mind one bit if the Mavs managed to get their hands on Barbosa without giving up any of the core. Some might say that would make one (perhaps two?) too many undersized SGs on one roster, and they'd probably be right, but if you're looking for a backcourt player who can take his man off the dribble, shoot the long ball, and possesses the kind of length and athleticism that makes him as viable a defensive option as you're likely to find against lightning bug guards, he's your man.

01-31-2009, 12:34 PM
updated with big men.

02-01-2009, 01:49 PM
I would like to see the Mavs get a couple of these players somehow:

Mike Miller
Marvin Williams
Travis Outlaw

02-02-2009, 12:33 AM
I'd be willing to bet that Boozer gets traded to LA for Odom.

After all, he was in a Super Bowl commercial. That has LA written all over it.