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Old 10-21-2019, 03:05 PM   #115
j0Shi
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Pelton made a good point on the Mavs in the latest Hoop Collective podcast where they discussed the results of his season prediction model. He said that Dallas was essentially a 38-win team based on their point differential. More than that, he mentioned how Dallas has historically always outperformed their differential and how it was awfully convenient to flip the script in a year they wanted to have a high draft pick.

I think many that only give the Mavs a shot at .500 reason that 8-9 wins is already a great improvement from 33 wins and how most wins came before they decided to trade away all the starters. However, I think you can make a legitimate case that this year's group to start the season is not worse than last year's and that the lack of winning after the deadline can at least partially be contributed to the unwillingness to win.

So Mavs were probably closer to a 38-win team and when you add 8-9 wins you land at 46-47 which would get you into playoff contention.
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