OK, I'm going to assume that New Orleans and Minnesota are 1-2 in the NFC, which of course is silly, but it's still the most likely scenario. That leaves two games of note in week 17, Dal-Phi and Ari-GB. It really helps that these are the four teams playing each other.
Scenarios:
Philly and Arizona win
3 Philly 12-4
4 Arizona 11-5
5 GB 11-5
6 Dal 10-6
Philly and GB win
3 Philly 12-5
4 Arizona 10-6
5 GB 11-5
6 Dal 10-6
Dallas and Ari win
3 Ari 11-5
4 Dal 11-5
5 Phi 11-5
6 GB 10-6
Dallas and GB win
3 Dal 11-5
4 Ari 10-6
5 GB 11-5
6 Phi 11-5
Basically, in all four of these scenarios, we're playing Philly in round 1. Just playing them for home-field advantage.
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