Quote:
Originally Posted by dirno2000
True, you always want "blue chip" talent but when you're looking at such a narrow range of picks (in this case 6 vs. 9) whose to say where the drop off in talent is? Those picks are so close together that it's a virtual crap shoot. For example, look at ESPN's current player ratings. The 6th pick will get you a player rated 96 on a 100 point scale. The 9th pick will get you a 95. Hell the 13th pick, which was about a low as we could have gone, will get you a 94. How confident are you that a 96 is better than a 94? Me, not very because everyone's board will be a little different. McShay's 94 could be a 97 on our board. Look at where we had Lee rated last year relative to all the mocks.
So honestly I'm pretty indifferent between the 6th and 9th picks. There will be a ton of good players available at both slots. When you add in the fact that in order to move up we would have had to purposely tank it's just not worth it. IMO it was more important to the long term health of the franchise to reestablish a mindset after the team quit midyear.
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I am done completely speaking with one person on this matter, but I will address this. You are missing my primary point. Dropping from 6th to 9th when there are no top 15 talents for the OL but 2 complete stud CBs that could be gone by 9th (hell, possibly by 6th) is a huge blow all things considered.
Also keep in mind that I (as did most everyone) expected the drop to be much more substantial than it became. We dropped from 6th to 9th but the possibilities out there before I knew for a fact what our final draft spot was (which was when I posted most of my frustrated posts) had us going from a potential 5th selection all the way to 11th or 12th. As it turns out, 3 spots isn't HUGE, but there is still a lot of value there.
As I mentioned previously, our biggest weakness in my opinion (even over the O-Line) is our secondary and losing both Peterson/Prince is to me a substantial blow when, in my mind, a loss and a 6th round pick at least provides a high probability that one will still be there.
Maybe if we lost we would have still traded down, picked up draft picks for the future and missed out all the same. Maybe if we lost we would have passed on both when our pick came up. Maybe if we lost both would have been gone by 6. Who knows... Tons of unknowns and I know that.
I just hope that it doesn't burn us and 3 years from now we can look back (with or without one of Prince/Peterson) and declare the lost year in 2010 to be the reason we hauled in so much talent that is now helping us contend for/win SuperBowls.