Quote:
Originally Posted by j0Shi
Simple experiment: Take 20 random NBA fans and ask them who the best clutch shooter last regular season was. You think two of them (to beat my 95%) would name Kris Humphries? |
You didn't establish "95% of the time," there. You established one instance of 95% error. You are a stats guy...you don't get this??
The honest way to examine the "problem" that you have proposed is to determine some sort of way to rate a player's ability, and then to compare it to the "eye test" or "sniff test" that an ordinary fan would use.
Here's a hint: Most people are going to use their "eye test" and decide that Dirk is good, and they are going to be right.
You are using your "95% wrong" thing in a very narrow context...and I might add, one that is entirely irrelevant the discussion in this thread.