Dallas-Mavs.com Forums - View Single Post - Krugman on why the debates won't be a game changer for Romney

aexchange · 10-30-2012, 12:20 PM

I don't put much stock into what intrade says. I don't know if they are entirely accurate, but what I do find more interesting is fivethirtyeight.com which you referenced earlier. It project Obama to get 294 electoral votes while Romney still manages to take Florida.

I've found fivethirtyeight.com to be incredibly accurate and very objective, accounting for historical accuracy of the polls used as well as objectively accounting for bias or lean in each of the polls. Romney needs around 27 electoral votes to win and I have a hard time seeing how he will get that even conceding Florida to him.

10-30-2012, 12:20 PM	#51
aexchange Boom goes the Dynamite! Join Date: Mar 2001 Posts: 4,008	I don't put much stock into what intrade says. I don't know if they are entirely accurate, but what I do find more interesting is fivethirtyeight.com which you referenced earlier. It project Obama to get 294 electoral votes while Romney still manages to take Florida. I've found fivethirtyeight.com to be incredibly accurate and very objective, accounting for historical accuracy of the polls used as well as objectively accounting for bias or lean in each of the polls. Romney needs around 27 electoral votes to win and I have a hard time seeing how he will get that even conceding Florida to him.