Obviously the number I used earlier to justify waiting to take the last shot are just approximations. Layups (Dude) or who's rebounding (UL) can change the complexity. But all in all in most cases when tied, the reward for shooting earlier when a good shot is offered over waiting to make sure the shot taken is the last one, does not justify the risk.
Both Finely and Dirk made this mistake. However the odds change significantly for when we are behind. Then it behooves us to take the best shot we can get so we have the best opportunity for a 2nd chance if we miss. This is because no shot will lose it for us if we're behind. So no shot is a high risk behavior. If we're tied no shot is a low risk behavior.
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Never argue with an idiot. They will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience.
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