Remaining game analysis
DAL (39-38)
HOU 38-39
MEM (41-36)
@LAC (48-28)
@UTA (39-38)
SAS (64-12)
Total record: 230-152
Average record: .601
predicted win/loss: 2-3
MEM (41-36)
CHI (39-38)
@DAL (39-38)
GSW (69-8)
@LAC (48-28)
@GSW (69-8)
Total record: 264-120
Average record: .688
predicted win/loss:2-3
HOU 38-39
@DAL (39-38)
PHO (20-57)
LAL (16-60)
@MIN (25-52)
SAC (31-46)
Total record: 131-253
Average record: .341
predicted win/loss: 4-1
UTA (39-38)
SAS (64-12)
LAC (48-28)
@DEN (32-46)
DAL (39-38)
@LAL (16-60)
Total record: 199-184
Average record: .520
predicted win/loss: 2-3
POR (41-37)
@SAC (31-46)
OKC (53-24)
MIN (25-52)
DEN (32-46)
Total record: 141-168
Average record: .456
predicted win/loss: 3-1
Difficulty of remaining schedule
1) Memphis (.688)
2) Dallas (.601)
3) Utah (.520)
4) Portland (.456)
5) Houston (.341)
Predicted season-end standings
5) POR 44-38
6) MEM 43-39
7) HOU 42-40
8) DAL 41-41*
9) UTA 41-41*
*100% depends on winning in Utah 4/11. If we win, we tie and own the tie-breaker 2-1. If we lose, we miss the playoffs unless we somehow win in LA or at home against the Spurs. Houston has the easiest schedule. Mavs have the hardest of any of the three teams fighting for the final two spots (Hou, Dal, Uta). That head-to-head is going to be huge.
ESPN has us at 49.2% chance of making the playoffs
http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/page/...x-playoff-odds