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Old 04-04-2016, 12:51 PM   #37
rimrocker
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EricaLubarsky View Post
Remaining game analysis

DAL (39-38)
HOU 38-39
MEM (41-36)
@LAC (48-28)
@UTA (39-38)
SAS (64-12)
Total record: 230-152 Average record: .601 predicted win/loss: 2-3

MEM (41-36)
CHI (39-38)
@DAL (39-38)
GSW (69-8)
@LAC (48-28)
@GSW (69-8)
Total record: 264-120 Average record: .688 predicted win/loss:2-3

HOU 38-39
@DAL (39-38)
PHO (20-57)
LAL (16-60)
@MIN (25-52)
SAC (31-46)
Total record: 131-253 Average record: .341 predicted win/loss: 4-1

UTA (39-38)
SAS (64-12)
LAC (48-28)
@DEN (32-46)
DAL (39-38)
@LAL (16-60)
Total record: 199-184 Average record: .520 predicted win/loss: 2-3

POR (41-37)
@SAC (31-46)
OKC (53-24)
MIN (25-52)
DEN (32-46)
Total record: 141-168 Average record: .456 predicted win/loss: 3-1

Difficulty of remaining schedule
1) Memphis (.688)
2) Dallas (.601)
3) Utah (.520)
4) Portland (.456)
5) Houston (.341)

Predicted season-end standings
5) POR 44-38
6) MEM 43-39
7) HOU 42-40
8) DAL 41-41*
9) UTA 41-41*

*100% depends on winning in Utah 4/11. If we win, we tie and own the tie-breaker 2-1. If we lose, we miss the playoffs unless we somehow win in LA or at home against the Spurs. Houston has the easiest schedule. Mavs have the hardest of any of the three teams fighting for the final two spots (Hou, Dal, Uta). That head-to-head is going to be huge.

ESPN has us at 49.2% chance of making the playoffs
http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/page/...x-playoff-odds
IDK....looking at Memphis' schedule our game could be important against them because we could go 3-2 the rest of the way and they could very easily go 1-4. Not sure who holds the tie breaker between us and them though if we win that game.

Last edited by rimrocker; 04-04-2016 at 12:53 PM.
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