At the risk of being (even more) overly reductive, this analysis allows for a very quick and extremely dirty method for assessing if a team’s roster is “championship level” or not. The median championship team from 2010 to 2019 (I’m ignoring 2019-20 for now because of the weirdness inherent in both the bubble and the unbalanced regular-season schedules that resulted from the shutdown and restart) had players who summed to just over 15 “Championship Value Over Replacement.” It’s best not to worry what a “point” of CVORP means in the grand scheme, other than that it can be compared across teams and players. But each Tier of player can be assigned a CVORP value based on the approximate median value assigned by the model:
Tier 1: 7 points
Tier 2: 4.25 points
Tier 3: 2.25 points
Tier 4: 1.25 points
Tier 5: 0.25 points
Looking at end of season rosters, the top 5 most likely teams to win a title based just on this rating scale would have been
LA Clippers: 15.25
Los Angeles Lakers: 12.75
Houston Rockets: 12.25
Milwaukee Bucks: 12.0
Boston Celtics: 11.5
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