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Old 05-07-2024, 07:51 PM   #18
EricaLubarsky
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Location: Scottsdale, AZ
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I think we can pull this off, but if we lose there are some things to think about

1) OKC was 2nd best in the league at home at 33-8. They were tied with Denver (who has an altitude advantage) and only behind the Celtics at home.
2) HCA is real and gives them about a +4% to win historically
3) Home teams in this playoff are 8-0 in game 1, even if two teams (Pacers/Mavs) were able to overcome HCA in their first-round series. A home team has not lost a game one once this year.
4) Mavs are +4.5. We are the underdogs
5) Our refs suck balls. Mavs are 0-1 with Brothers. Ben Taylor is crooked. The good news is we may get our games with them out of the way in a game we will probably lose. Still sucks that our officiating crew is so bad in such a big game.
6) Brothers far surpasses the league average by awarding the home team with favorable calls 64% of the time. Taylor 57%. Forte 58%, Cutler 56%.
7) Cutler calls 58% of his calls against the road team. Forte 53%. Taylor 51%
8) Kyrie is 32. Luka's knees are 45. Thunder are 23.4 years old on average.
9) OKC has had eight days of rest. Mavs just three.

Last edited by EricaLubarsky; 05-07-2024 at 07:57 PM.
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