I don't think it's going to be close with the electoral votes at all.
That's the funny old thing about the electoral college. McCain will probably lose all those states 48 to 47 and yet it will be called a "land slide."
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By the way, if anyone is interested in the projected changes to the number of representatives/electoral votes:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_..._apportionment
Gain more than one
Texas +4
Arizona +2
Florida +2
Gain one
Georgia +1
Nevada +1
North Carolina +1
Oregon +1
South Carolina +1
Utah +1
Lose one
California -1
Illinois -1
Iowa -1
Louisiana -1
Massachusetts -1
Michigan -1
Minnesota -1
Missouri -1
New Jersey -1
Pennsylvania -1
Lose more than one
New York -2
Ohio -2