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Janett_Reno · 10-31-2008, 02:12 PM

Early Voting Data Are Starting to Come in

Several organizations are collecting data on early voting, which is possible in about 30 states this year. One of them is EVIC at Reed College in Oregon. In North Carolina, almost 1 million Democrats have already voted, but only half a million Republicans. In Georgia, 1.4 million people (25% of the electorate) have already voted, with black turnout especially high (33% have already voted). Data for other states are available on the EVIC Website.

George Mason University also has a Website with early voting data. It reports that 20 million people have already voted nationwide.

CNN has an interactive map showing the number of early votes and absentee votes already cast. In New Mexico, for example, 194,000 Democrats and 110,000 Republicans have already voted. In another swing state, Nevada, the data are available for only two counties, Clark (Las Vegas) and Washoe (Reno). In these two combined, 202,000 Democrats and 119,00 Republicans have already voted.

In Florida, blacks and elderly voters are turning out in droves, but younger voters aren't showing up yet. In the first nine days of voting, 1.4 million votes have been cast in the Sunshine state. About 54% were Democrats and 30% were Republicans even though Democrats comprise 42% of the registered voters and 36% of the registered voters are Republicans. The high Democratic turnout in Florida is not surprising. Obama has been pouring money into the state, with the weekly bill for TV ads running $5 million and 400 paid staff on the ground.

President Poll
---------------

Arizona 44% 48% Oct 27 Oct 28 Mason-Dixon
Arizona Research 2000: McCain 48%, Obama 47%
GA-Pres Oct 31 Res. 2000 McCain (R) 47%, Obama (D) 44%
Colorado 48% 44% Oct 23 Oct 27 Financial Dynamics
Colorado 51% 45% Oct 27 Oct 28 Marist Coll.
Colorado PPP (D) Obama 54, McCain 44 Obama +10
Florida 45% 44% Oct 23 Oct 27 Financial Dynamics
Iowa 53% 39% Oct 27 Oct 29 Research 2000
Iowa 55% 40% Oct 28 Oct 29 SurveyUSA
Indiana 46% 49% Oct 28 Oct 29 Rasmussen
Indiana SurveyUSA McCain 47, Obama 47 Tie
Kentucky 43% 55% Oct 29 Oct 29 Rasmussen
Louisiana 40% 43% Oct 24 Oct 26 Loyola U.
Minnesota 48% 40% Oct 27 Oct 28 Mason-Dixon
Montana 46% 50% Oct 29 Oct 29 Rasmussen
North Carolina 47% 43% Oct 23 Oct 27 Financial Dynamics
North Carolina 50% 48% Oct 29 Oct 29 Rasmussen
NC-Pres Oct 31 Elon Univ.Obama (D) 45%, McCain (R) 38%
North Carolina Politico/InAdv Obama 48, McCain 48 Tie
New Hampshire 53% 40% Oct 27 Oct 29 Suffolk U.
New Hampshire SurveyUSA Obama 53, McCain 42 Obama +11
New Hampshire Concord Monitor Obama 51, McCain 44 Obama +7
New Hampshire Strategic Vision (R) Obama 50, McCain 41 Obama +9
Ohio 48% 41% Oct 23 Oct 27 Financial Dynamics
Pennsylvania 47% 43% Oct 27 Oct 28 Mason-Dixon
Pennsylvania Strategic Vision (R) Obama 49, McCain 44 Obama +5
Pennsylvania Morning Call Obama 53, McCain 43 Obama +10
Virginia 48% 44% Oct 23 Oct 27 Financial Dynamics
Virginia 51% 47% Oct 26 Oct 27 Marist Coll.
Wisconsin 55% 39% Oct 28 Oct 29 SurveyUSA
Missouri Politico/InAdv McCain 50, Obama 47 McCain +3
West Virginia PPP (D) McCain 55, Obama 42 McCain +13
Oregon PPP (D) Obama 57, McCain 42 Obama +15
New Mexico PPP (D) Obama 58, McCain 41 Obama +17

Senate
--------

Kentucky Bruce Lunsford 44% Mitch McConnell* 51% Oct 29 Oct 29 Rasmussen
Kentucky Senate Courier-Journal McConnell 47, Lunsford 42 McConnell +5
Louisiana Mary Landrieu* 49% John Kennedy 34% Oct 24 Oct 26 Loyola U.
Minnesota Al Franken 41% Norm Coleman* 37% Oct 24 Oct 28 U. of Minnesota
Minnesota Senate NBC/Mason-Dixon Franken 36, Coleman 42, Barkley 12 Coleman +6
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen 48% John Sununu* 39% Oct 27 Oct 29 Suffolk U.
New Hampshire Senate SurveyUSA Shaheen 53, Sununu 40 Shaheen +13
Oregon Senate PPP (D) Merkley 51, Smith 43 Merkley +8
OR-SEN Oct 31 Rasmussen Merkley (D) 49%, Smith (R) 46%
AK-SEN Oct 31 Res. 2000 Begich (D) 58%, Stevens (R) 36%
GA-SEN Oct 31 Res. 2000 Chambliss (R) 47%, Martin (D) 46%
GA-SEN Oct 31 CNN Chambliss (R) 53%, Martin (D) 44%
GA-SEN Oct 31 Rasmussen Chambliss (R) 48%, Martin (D) 43%
NC-SEN Oct 31 CNN Hagan (D) 53%, Dole (R) 44%
NC-SEN Oct 31 Elon Univ. Hagan (D) 44%, Dole (R) 37%

The LA poll is shocking as i didn't even know LA was close and maybe it isn't because that is the only poll i have noticed that. McCain has closed in PA by the one poll. McConnell is keeping enough space for a win for now. MN is a total guess with Franken/Coleman because you can look at 10 polls and it will be split 5 and 5 for who is winning.

Obama Going Up On The Air In Georgia, North Dakota, And ... Arizona!

Early Voting Extended In North Carolina

North Carolina Republicans, predictably, are outraged by the extension -- not because Obama is leading McCain in early voting in the state by 59%-33%, as of two days ago -- but because they say they're worried about the stressed out election officials.

CBS/NYT Poll: Obama Winning Big -- If New Voters Turn Out

10-31-2008, 02:12 PM	#707
Janett_Reno Platinum Member Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 2,150	Early Voting Data Are Starting to Come in Several organizations are collecting data on early voting, which is possible in about 30 states this year. One of them is EVIC at Reed College in Oregon. In North Carolina, almost 1 million Democrats have already voted, but only half a million Republicans. In Georgia, 1.4 million people (25% of the electorate) have already voted, with black turnout especially high (33% have already voted). Data for other states are available on the EVIC Website. George Mason University also has a Website with early voting data. It reports that 20 million people have already voted nationwide. CNN has an interactive map showing the number of early votes and absentee votes already cast. In New Mexico, for example, 194,000 Democrats and 110,000 Republicans have already voted. In another swing state, Nevada, the data are available for only two counties, Clark (Las Vegas) and Washoe (Reno). In these two combined, 202,000 Democrats and 119,00 Republicans have already voted. In Florida, blacks and elderly voters are turning out in droves, but younger voters aren't showing up yet. In the first nine days of voting, 1.4 million votes have been cast in the Sunshine state. About 54% were Democrats and 30% were Republicans even though Democrats comprise 42% of the registered voters and 36% of the registered voters are Republicans. The high Democratic turnout in Florida is not surprising. Obama has been pouring money into the state, with the weekly bill for TV ads running $5 million and 400 paid staff on the ground. President Poll --------------- Arizona 44% 48% Oct 27 Oct 28 Mason-Dixon Arizona Research 2000: McCain 48%, Obama 47% GA-Pres Oct 31 Res. 2000 McCain (R) 47%, Obama (D) 44% Colorado 48% 44% Oct 23 Oct 27 Financial Dynamics Colorado 51% 45% Oct 27 Oct 28 Marist Coll. Colorado PPP (D) Obama 54, McCain 44 Obama +10 Florida 45% 44% Oct 23 Oct 27 Financial Dynamics Iowa 53% 39% Oct 27 Oct 29 Research 2000 Iowa 55% 40% Oct 28 Oct 29 SurveyUSA Indiana 46% 49% Oct 28 Oct 29 Rasmussen Indiana SurveyUSA McCain 47, Obama 47 Tie Kentucky 43% 55% Oct 29 Oct 29 Rasmussen Louisiana 40% 43% Oct 24 Oct 26 Loyola U. Minnesota 48% 40% Oct 27 Oct 28 Mason-Dixon Montana 46% 50% Oct 29 Oct 29 Rasmussen North Carolina 47% 43% Oct 23 Oct 27 Financial Dynamics North Carolina 50% 48% Oct 29 Oct 29 Rasmussen NC-Pres Oct 31 Elon Univ.Obama (D) 45%, McCain (R) 38% North Carolina Politico/InAdv Obama 48, McCain 48 Tie New Hampshire 53% 40% Oct 27 Oct 29 Suffolk U. New Hampshire SurveyUSA Obama 53, McCain 42 Obama +11 New Hampshire Concord Monitor Obama 51, McCain 44 Obama +7 New Hampshire Strategic Vision (R) Obama 50, McCain 41 Obama +9 Ohio 48% 41% Oct 23 Oct 27 Financial Dynamics Pennsylvania 47% 43% Oct 27 Oct 28 Mason-Dixon Pennsylvania Strategic Vision (R) Obama 49, McCain 44 Obama +5 Pennsylvania Morning Call Obama 53, McCain 43 Obama +10 Virginia 48% 44% Oct 23 Oct 27 Financial Dynamics Virginia 51% 47% Oct 26 Oct 27 Marist Coll. Wisconsin 55% 39% Oct 28 Oct 29 SurveyUSA Missouri Politico/InAdv McCain 50, Obama 47 McCain +3 West Virginia PPP (D) McCain 55, Obama 42 McCain +13 Oregon PPP (D) Obama 57, McCain 42 Obama +15 New Mexico PPP (D) Obama 58, McCain 41 Obama +17 Senate -------- Kentucky Bruce Lunsford 44% Mitch McConnell* 51% Oct 29 Oct 29 Rasmussen Kentucky Senate Courier-Journal McConnell 47, Lunsford 42 McConnell +5 Louisiana Mary Landrieu* 49% John Kennedy 34% Oct 24 Oct 26 Loyola U. Minnesota Al Franken 41% Norm Coleman* 37% Oct 24 Oct 28 U. of Minnesota Minnesota Senate NBC/Mason-Dixon Franken 36, Coleman 42, Barkley 12 Coleman +6 New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen 48% John Sununu* 39% Oct 27 Oct 29 Suffolk U. New Hampshire Senate SurveyUSA Shaheen 53, Sununu 40 Shaheen +13 Oregon Senate PPP (D) Merkley 51, Smith 43 Merkley +8 OR-SEN Oct 31 Rasmussen Merkley (D) 49%, Smith (R) 46% AK-SEN Oct 31 Res. 2000 Begich (D) 58%, Stevens (R) 36% GA-SEN Oct 31 Res. 2000 Chambliss (R) 47%, Martin (D) 46% GA-SEN Oct 31 CNN Chambliss (R) 53%, Martin (D) 44% GA-SEN Oct 31 Rasmussen Chambliss (R) 48%, Martin (D) 43% NC-SEN Oct 31 CNN Hagan (D) 53%, Dole (R) 44% NC-SEN Oct 31 Elon Univ. Hagan (D) 44%, Dole (R) 37% The LA poll is shocking as i didn't even know LA was close and maybe it isn't because that is the only poll i have noticed that. McCain has closed in PA by the one poll. McConnell is keeping enough space for a win for now. MN is a total guess with Franken/Coleman because you can look at 10 polls and it will be split 5 and 5 for who is winning. Obama Going Up On The Air In Georgia, North Dakota, And ... Arizona! Early Voting Extended In North Carolina North Carolina Republicans, predictably, are outraged by the extension -- not because Obama is leading McCain in early voting in the state by 59%-33%, as of two days ago -- but because they say they're worried about the stressed out election officials. CBS/NYT Poll: Obama Winning Big -- If New Voters Turn Out