Dallas-Mavs.com Forums - View Single Post - Obama beats McCain in three swing states: poll

Janett_Reno · 11-01-2008, 08:14 PM

Cheney Endorses McCain

Ron Reagan endorses Barack Obama

Former Reagan adviser, Ken Duberstein, endorses Obama

Poll: Obama Has Banked Big Lead In Early Vote

With early voting now coming to an end, a new CBS poll finds that Barack Obama has already banked a massive lead going into Election Day, which John McCain will have a tough job overcoming.

The numbers: Among the subset of early voters, Obama has built up a lead of 57%-38%. Among all likely voters, including both the early vote and those people who haven't gone yet, it's 54%-41%.

With the common estimate being that roughly one third of all ballots cast this year will be early votes, this means McCain would have to win the the remaining votes on Election Day by a margin of nearly ten points just to eke out a narrow win in the overall popular vote.

It's possible for McCain to do this -- and the internals show that the early voters are disproportionately self-identified Democrats -- but it's definitely a tough job.

11-01-2008, 08:14 PM	#716
Janett_Reno Platinum Member Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 2,150	Cheney Endorses McCain Ron Reagan endorses Barack Obama Former Reagan adviser, Ken Duberstein, endorses Obama Poll: Obama Has Banked Big Lead In Early Vote With early voting now coming to an end, a new CBS poll finds that Barack Obama has already banked a massive lead going into Election Day, which John McCain will have a tough job overcoming. The numbers: Among the subset of early voters, Obama has built up a lead of 57%-38%. Among all likely voters, including both the early vote and those people who haven't gone yet, it's 54%-41%. With the common estimate being that roughly one third of all ballots cast this year will be early votes, this means McCain would have to win the the remaining votes on Election Day by a margin of nearly ten points just to eke out a narrow win in the overall popular vote. It's possible for McCain to do this -- and the internals show that the early voters are disproportionately self-identified Democrats -- but it's definitely a tough job.