Dallas-Mavs.com Forums - View Single Post - Obama beats McCain in three swing states: poll

Janett_Reno · 11-02-2008, 02:29 PM

McCain is making headway in PA but Kerry, Gore and maybe even Clinton just won PA by 3 points or so. I know it was close with Gore, Kerry and Obama had double digit leads in PA and this hasn't been done in many, many years and PA was expected like a 2 to 5 point win for Obama. McCain has closed in PA. I think McCain will lose in a landslide or if he can get alot of these close states to go McCain, he could lose in a closer race. No, i don't think McCain can win. Romney would have helped him in the states he needed blue, Wi, MI, MN, Oh, Pa, In, maybe NC and Fl. Romney might have helped some out west in which Palin has helped some in west states.

Bush had a 2 or 3 point lead on Gore and Kerry in last cnn poll. Before those elections and Bush just did win. Obama has like a 6 to 8 point lead. I think this last poll today was 6 or 7 today. It is to much for McCain to overcome. He won't do it.

Look at AR, was big for McCain and even here, Obama is closing. If Mac could win PA and VA, then he could maybe have a shot but he is not holding OH. Out in CO and NV looks bad for him. I think Obama will win VA and this is going to really hurt McCain and even the gopnow and for years to come.

Arkansas 44% 51% Oct 28 Oct 31 ARG
Florida 47% 45% Oct 29 Oct 30 Mason-Dixon
Florida 47% 47% Oct 29 Oct 30 Datamar
Florida 50% 46% Oct 29 Oct 31 ARG
Iowa 54% 37% Oct 28 Oct 31 Selzer
Indiana 48% 48% Oct 28 Oct 31 ARG
Michigan 53% 37% Oct 28 Oct 28 Selzer
New Mexico 52% 45% Oct 29 Oct 31 SurveyUSA
Ohio 57% 41% Oct 12 Oct 23 Ohio U.
Pennsylvania 51% 45% Oct 29 Oct 31 ARG
Pennsylvania 51% 47% Oct 30 Oct 30 Rasmussen
Pennsylvania 52% 45% Oct 28 Nov 01 Muhlenberg Coll.
Virginia 47% 44% Oct 29 Oct 30 Mason-Dixon
Wisconsin 52% 42% Oct 21 Oct 28 U. of Wisconsin

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This comes from Dailykos and they are a big time democrats. So how true this next article is, not sure but early votting looks big and good for Obama. Bush/Cheney is hurting McCain bad and Palin did not help. People are out in record numbers and if i am guessing it is not record voters for more of the same. I figure early voters and urn out favor Obama, not McCain.....

COLORADO

Early voting is through the roof in Colorado - fully 68.8 percent of all ballots cast in 2004. 37.7% of ballots were requested by Democrats, 35.9% by Republicans.

FLORIDA

More than 3.75 million people have voted early in Florida, and things look good for Democrats:

But so far this year, early-voting Democrats are outnumbering Republicans at those sites by more than 20 percentage points, and a WSVN–Suffolk University poll has Barack Obama leading over John McCain 60% to 40% among early voters.

In 2004, 36% of votes cast were early or absentee votes. Of those, 40.7% were by registered Democrats, 43.5% by Republicans.

This year, early voting numbers are even higher - 46.9% of the total 2004 vote - and Dems exceed Republicans; 45.6% of early voters are Dems, 37.8% are Republicans.

That bodes extremely well for Barack Obama's chances at taking Florida's 27 electoral votes, and it oughta help House candidates Alan Grayson (FL-08), Christine Jennings (FL-13), Annette Taddeo (FL-18), Raul Martinez (FL-21), Suzanne Kosmas (FL-24) and Joe Garcia (FL-25).

GEORGIA

Two million people, a record, cast early ballots in Georgia. That's 60% of the total 2004 vote.

Blacks comprise 35% of Georgia early voters, and women 56%, suggesting that as of right now, Barack Obama and Jim Martin are winning big.

NEVADA

With more than 600,000 Nevadans already having voted,

The early voting in advance of Election Day has been so heavy that Secretary of State Ross Miller increased his total turnout prediction from about 1 million to 1.1 million voters. That lowers the early-absentee balloting percentage — but it's still at 56 percent of the revised total of expected voters.

In Clark County, Democratic early voting outstrips Republican by 52% to 31%, while in traditionally Republican Washoe County (where just a couple of weeks ago, Democratic registration topped Republicans for the first time since 1978), 47% of early voters are Democrats to 35% Republicans.

Being registered to a party is no guarantee you'll vote for all its candidates, of course, but the trend is good.

11-02-2008, 02:29 PM	#718
Janett_Reno Platinum Member Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 2,150	McCain is making headway in PA but Kerry, Gore and maybe even Clinton just won PA by 3 points or so. I know it was close with Gore, Kerry and Obama had double digit leads in PA and this hasn't been done in many, many years and PA was expected like a 2 to 5 point win for Obama. McCain has closed in PA. I think McCain will lose in a landslide or if he can get alot of these close states to go McCain, he could lose in a closer race. No, i don't think McCain can win. Romney would have helped him in the states he needed blue, Wi, MI, MN, Oh, Pa, In, maybe NC and Fl. Romney might have helped some out west in which Palin has helped some in west states. Bush had a 2 or 3 point lead on Gore and Kerry in last cnn poll. Before those elections and Bush just did win. Obama has like a 6 to 8 point lead. I think this last poll today was 6 or 7 today. It is to much for McCain to overcome. He won't do it. Look at AR, was big for McCain and even here, Obama is closing. If Mac could win PA and VA, then he could maybe have a shot but he is not holding OH. Out in CO and NV looks bad for him. I think Obama will win VA and this is going to really hurt McCain and even the gopnow and for years to come. Arkansas 44% 51% Oct 28 Oct 31 ARG Florida 47% 45% Oct 29 Oct 30 Mason-Dixon Florida 47% 47% Oct 29 Oct 30 Datamar Florida 50% 46% Oct 29 Oct 31 ARG Iowa 54% 37% Oct 28 Oct 31 Selzer Indiana 48% 48% Oct 28 Oct 31 ARG Michigan 53% 37% Oct 28 Oct 28 Selzer New Mexico 52% 45% Oct 29 Oct 31 SurveyUSA Ohio 57% 41% Oct 12 Oct 23 Ohio U. Pennsylvania 51% 45% Oct 29 Oct 31 ARG Pennsylvania 51% 47% Oct 30 Oct 30 Rasmussen Pennsylvania 52% 45% Oct 28 Nov 01 Muhlenberg Coll. Virginia 47% 44% Oct 29 Oct 30 Mason-Dixon Wisconsin 52% 42% Oct 21 Oct 28 U. of Wisconsin -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This comes from Dailykos and they are a big time democrats. So how true this next article is, not sure but early votting looks big and good for Obama. Bush/Cheney is hurting McCain bad and Palin did not help. People are out in record numbers and if i am guessing it is not record voters for more of the same. I figure early voters and urn out favor Obama, not McCain..... COLORADO Early voting is through the roof in Colorado - fully 68.8 percent of all ballots cast in 2004. 37.7% of ballots were requested by Democrats, 35.9% by Republicans. FLORIDA More than 3.75 million people have voted early in Florida, and things look good for Democrats: But so far this year, early-voting Democrats are outnumbering Republicans at those sites by more than 20 percentage points, and a WSVN–Suffolk University poll has Barack Obama leading over John McCain 60% to 40% among early voters. In 2004, 36% of votes cast were early or absentee votes. Of those, 40.7% were by registered Democrats, 43.5% by Republicans. This year, early voting numbers are even higher - 46.9% of the total 2004 vote - and Dems exceed Republicans; 45.6% of early voters are Dems, 37.8% are Republicans. That bodes extremely well for Barack Obama's chances at taking Florida's 27 electoral votes, and it oughta help House candidates Alan Grayson (FL-08), Christine Jennings (FL-13), Annette Taddeo (FL-18), Raul Martinez (FL-21), Suzanne Kosmas (FL-24) and Joe Garcia (FL-25). GEORGIA Two million people, a record, cast early ballots in Georgia. That's 60% of the total 2004 vote. Blacks comprise 35% of Georgia early voters, and women 56%, suggesting that as of right now, Barack Obama and Jim Martin are winning big. NEVADA With more than 600,000 Nevadans already having voted, The early voting in advance of Election Day has been so heavy that Secretary of State Ross Miller increased his total turnout prediction from about 1 million to 1.1 million voters. That lowers the early-absentee balloting percentage — but it's still at 56 percent of the revised total of expected voters. In Clark County, Democratic early voting outstrips Republican by 52% to 31%, while in traditionally Republican Washoe County (where just a couple of weeks ago, Democratic registration topped Republicans for the first time since 1978), 47% of early voters are Democrats to 35% Republicans. Being registered to a party is no guarantee you'll vote for all its candidates, of course, but the trend is good.