[EricaLubarsky]

FOUR OPTIONS

Option 1) We lose. Guaranteed 10th draft position. Doesn't matter what other teams do (9th if Bulls somehow beat both the Raptors and Heat/Hawks) - 13.9% chance of a top 4, 79.8% chance of keeping pick)

Option 2) We win against the Spurs. Both Thunder and Bulls win. We get 10th (9th if Bulls somehow beat both the Raptors and Heat/Hawks) - 13.9% chance of a top 4, 79.8% chance of keeping pick)

Option 3) We win against the Spurs. Either Thunder or Bulls lose. We split 10th/11th (9th/10th if Bulls somehow beat both the Raptors and Heat/Hawks) - 9.4% chance of a top 4, 44.6% chance of keeping pick)

Option 4) We win against the Spurs. Both the Thunder and Bulls lose. We split 10th/11th/12th (9th/10th if Bulls make the playoffs) - 10.2% chance of a top 4, 32.1% chance of keeping pick)

That's it. If we lose one more game, we are in control and guaranteed 10th with a small chance of 9th. If we win, then other teams can split out lottery odds.