Thread: 2020 NBA Draft
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Old 09-08-2020, 10:22 AM   #167
EricaLubarsky
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DevinHarriswillstart View Post
Or just draft a 3 and D guy? Shocking how many people are underestimating the value of the 18 pick in this draft. There are a TON of quality players that will be available then.
To be fair, historically our odds aren't great with those picks. Outside the top 10, the odds of getting a strong player are fairly low.

18th
20% were starters or stars.
25% were role players with starting potential (5th man to 10th man)
55% were bench players or total busts.

31st
5% were starters or stars (no stars were drafted at 31)
50% were role players with starting potential (5th man to 10th man)
45% were bench players or total busts.

Probablly less than 50% with each pick that we'll get a player capable of starting for a playoff team, but uness we get a super sweet deal, I think it's the best wager we can make. You can flip a coin twice and get tails twice. We may very well fail with both picks, but if we get even one starter on a cheap deal out of those two picks, I think we have to go that way.
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