This is a neutral site and go here
http://www.pollster.com/ and look at the map. Just point your mouse over any state and you can see the poll numbers. Any republicans please do not be alarmed at the electorial vote Obama has over McCain now because Tx is in play, OH is blue and FL is don't know and Mich blue. All those states are huge and in Tx it shows only a 4 or 5 point lead for McCain and this is hard for me to understand. If it is any truth to this, then that is alarming because McCain should have atleast a 20 point lead in Tx.
Obama has McCain fighting for to many states on to many fronts. Wave your mouse over nc, sc, ms, sd, nd, tx, ak, mt, nv, co, ga and ind.
Some hope for McCain is nh, mi, and pa.
Remember, OH and FL won't be settled untill the night of the election. Those are big but both are going to have a knock down drag out fight for those two and it won't shake out untill the week or night of the election. Tx should never be in play and i won't go into all the others but it's way to many red states on the border line for McCain. MO is very close also and could go either way.
You need a base. You need a good big base of safe states. The democrats have broken into the republicans base and the republicans haven't defended. Now, they are also trying to break in the democrats of mi, pa. Atleast two of the base dems.