Thread: 2020 NBA Draft
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Old 08-21-2020, 05:53 PM   #77
EricaLubarsky
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MFFL View Post
Lol

One backup in HOW many years?
I know it's not the cool thing to do, but actually look at the stats from a couple of angles.

1) When you only look at the results of the draft independent of where we drafted, we've had since, 2000, we are 20th in the league, which is bottom third of teams (measured by an average of career PER of all our picks together). Only nine teams got less talent out of the draft in the last two decades.

2) When you look at average success corrected for draft position, we are 10th best and that's before Luka's full career brings that even higher. When corrected for how bad our draft position was, we draft better than our draft position almost every time. When we have a good pick, we generally get a good or even better player. When we have a middling pick, we get a middling or better player. Since 2000, we've actually beat the odds on the picks we've had. When we get a top five pick? We get an absolutely transcendent pick.

Since 2000, the average of all our draft picks was 32nd. We're tied with the Rockets for 28th/29th in the league in average draft position. Only the Spurs have drafted lower on average over the last twenty years. When we had good picks? In the last 26 years, we've only had three top-8 picks and we got Kidd, Dirk, and Doncic with those picks.

You know why our picks have been so bad? Along with the Spurs, we've been the most successful team in the league during the 2000s and 2010s. We were good so we drafted low. Then we traded down in a few drafts and traded away a LOT of picks.

I personally think that we should use the metric of what we got for what we had. When you compare what we got with what we had, we're a top ten team and when we draft high, we do really really well.

Last edited by EricaLubarsky; 08-21-2020 at 06:03 PM.
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