12-30-2012, 10:41 AM
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#5
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Platinum Member
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,675
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AO41
I see a lot of people are down on the team.
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Quote:
And more upside-down stuff from DB.com's Luke Kammrath, who pulls out the Big Calculator to reveal this:
The record that the Mavs will need to have in their last 52 games to likely make the playoffs is 32-20.
That creates a winning percentage of 0.615 in those 52 ... in order to get to 44-38 ... and achieve a winning percentage of 0.537. In only two years since 2002 have teams made the playoffs in the Western Conference with a winning percentage less than 0.537.
In that time the worst winning percentage while making the playoffs in the West was 0.512 (42-40). The Mavs would have to go 30-22 (0.577) to do that.
Up to this point the Mavs have played 12-18 basketball (winning percentage of 0.400).
Turning that around would be quite an accomplishment ... and at this moment, it seems, quite unlikely. Conclusion: For the first time in the Cuban Era, as Feb. 21 approaches, the Mavs are becoming increasingly likely to be trade-deadline sellers.
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