Dallas-Mavs.com Forums - View Single Post - Obama beats McCain in three swing states: poll

Janett_Reno · 11-02-2008, 11:59 PM

Obama leads McCain by 6 points

http://www.reuters.com/article/polit...34134020081102

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama's lead over Republican rival John McCain firmed marginally to 6 points with support for both candidates steady before Tuesday's U.S. presidential election, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Sunday.

Obama leads McCain by 50 percent to 44 percent among likely voters in the three-day national tracking poll, up from a 5-point advantage on Saturday. The telephone poll has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.

"There are two full days to go before Election Day and obviously anything can happen, but it is hard to see where McCain goes from here," pollster John Zogby said.

He said the polling data over the weekend showed that both candidates appeared to be consolidating support among their core supporters -- women and independents for Obama, older voters and conservatives for McCain.

National opinion polls all give the lead to Obama, who also appears to be outflanking McCain in a number of the battleground states that will end up deciding the election.

McCain spent Saturday campaigning in Virginia and Pennsylvania -- states that electoral strategists regard as crucial to his hopes for victory -- while Obama pushed for an advantage in three states that went for President George W. Bush in 2004: Nevada, Colorado and Missouri.

The poll showed Obama well ahead among voters who had already participated in early balloting, leading McCain in this group by 56 percent to 39 percent.

Women and independent voters, groups that are expected to play an important role in this election, continue to back Obama although his margin is not as wide as it was late last month.

Obama enjoys an 8-point lead among women voters and a 10-point lead among independents.

McCain continues to hold a strong lead among white voters, 54 percent to 40 percent, and among voters who identify themselves as members of the "investor class," who support him by a 9-point margin.

Obama, who would be the first black U.S. president, wins 93 percent support among black voters and 65 percent among Hispanics.

Independent Ralph Nader received 2 percent in the national survey, and Libertarian Bob Barr was at 1 percent. About 2 percent of voters remain undecided.

The rolling tracking poll, taken Wednesday through Friday, surveyed 1,201 likely voters in the presidential election. In a tracking poll, the most recent day's results are added, while the oldest day's results are dropped to monitor changing momentum.

The U.S. presidency is determined by which candidate wins the Electoral College, which has 538 members apportioned by population in each state and the District of Columbia. Electoral votes are allotted on a winner-take-all basis in all but two states, which divide them by congressional district.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Now this is Janett, remember me saying long ago, the gop party turned their back on latinos? Bush got them by throwing a few words out in Spanish and then in the debates, all but one republican wanted to debate on a latino network. They claimed they were busy. I am not sure and maybe months and months later they did do something but at the time and for many months, it was like we don't care, we are doing our own thang. Now this thang is 65% going for Obama. The latino vote was with Hillary and then Obama. The gop didn't think this vote seemed important. Now let's look at women. Palin was suppose to win Hillary women voters and Obama has an 8 point lead with women. Palin backfired. Thank goodness they kept Romney off the ticket. Remember when guys like McCain and Lieberman were "Mavericks" and was more of an Independent? Now Obama is taking independents at a 10% more clip than former independent McCain. This was way before he sold out to Bush/Cheney and joined them.

So see, all these things matter. Women saw it, independents saw it, latinos saw it. Even many big wig gop's are endorsing Obama. You know it was a joke not long ago on SNL when Bush was holding Macs hand endorsing him as Mac was trying to pull away. A comedy skit on SNL(actors). Next few days you hear of W votting for Big Mac and then a weekend later, Cheney throws his weight around with a big endorsement for John McCain.

I bet McCain wishes he never heard of SC, swiftboats, Sarah Palin , George W Bush and Dick Cheney. His timming was bad as he didn't join in with the neocons when neocon times was hopping but as soon as they took office and threw him under the bus, then he joined in thinking the cons could put him into higher places and now the wheels jump off for the cons and now he gets his big W and Cheney endorsement as they pick him a woman on his vp ticket he probably never had even heard of before they sent her to him. It is even now showing his(Mac's) senator run seat in 2010 and a lady out ahead of him big time. A democrat(lady) out in front of Big Mac. Makes me wonder if he will even stay in politics in 2010. Big Mac was a day late and a dollar short. He should have stayed with whom he was.

11-02-2008, 11:59 PM	#723
Janett_Reno Platinum Member Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 2,150	Obama leads McCain by 6 points http://www.reuters.com/article/polit...34134020081102 WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama's lead over Republican rival John McCain firmed marginally to 6 points with support for both candidates steady before Tuesday's U.S. presidential election, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Sunday. Obama leads McCain by 50 percent to 44 percent among likely voters in the three-day national tracking poll, up from a 5-point advantage on Saturday. The telephone poll has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points. "There are two full days to go before Election Day and obviously anything can happen, but it is hard to see where McCain goes from here," pollster John Zogby said. He said the polling data over the weekend showed that both candidates appeared to be consolidating support among their core supporters -- women and independents for Obama, older voters and conservatives for McCain. National opinion polls all give the lead to Obama, who also appears to be outflanking McCain in a number of the battleground states that will end up deciding the election. McCain spent Saturday campaigning in Virginia and Pennsylvania -- states that electoral strategists regard as crucial to his hopes for victory -- while Obama pushed for an advantage in three states that went for President George W. Bush in 2004: Nevada, Colorado and Missouri. The poll showed Obama well ahead among voters who had already participated in early balloting, leading McCain in this group by 56 percent to 39 percent. Women and independent voters, groups that are expected to play an important role in this election, continue to back Obama although his margin is not as wide as it was late last month. Obama enjoys an 8-point lead among women voters and a 10-point lead among independents. McCain continues to hold a strong lead among white voters, 54 percent to 40 percent, and among voters who identify themselves as members of the "investor class," who support him by a 9-point margin. Obama, who would be the first black U.S. president, wins 93 percent support among black voters and 65 percent among Hispanics. Independent Ralph Nader received 2 percent in the national survey, and Libertarian Bob Barr was at 1 percent. About 2 percent of voters remain undecided. The rolling tracking poll, taken Wednesday through Friday, surveyed 1,201 likely voters in the presidential election. In a tracking poll, the most recent day's results are added, while the oldest day's results are dropped to monitor changing momentum. The U.S. presidency is determined by which candidate wins the Electoral College, which has 538 members apportioned by population in each state and the District of Columbia. Electoral votes are allotted on a winner-take-all basis in all but two states, which divide them by congressional district. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Now this is Janett, remember me saying long ago, the gop party turned their back on latinos? Bush got them by throwing a few words out in Spanish and then in the debates, all but one republican wanted to debate on a latino network. They claimed they were busy. I am not sure and maybe months and months later they did do something but at the time and for many months, it was like we don't care, we are doing our own thang. Now this thang is 65% going for Obama. The latino vote was with Hillary and then Obama. The gop didn't think this vote seemed important. Now let's look at women. Palin was suppose to win Hillary women voters and Obama has an 8 point lead with women. Palin backfired. Thank goodness they kept Romney off the ticket. Remember when guys like McCain and Lieberman were "Mavericks" and was more of an Independent? Now Obama is taking independents at a 10% more clip than former independent McCain. This was way before he sold out to Bush/Cheney and joined them. So see, all these things matter. Women saw it, independents saw it, latinos saw it. Even many big wig gop's are endorsing Obama. You know it was a joke not long ago on SNL when Bush was holding Macs hand endorsing him as Mac was trying to pull away. A comedy skit on SNL(actors). Next few days you hear of W votting for Big Mac and then a weekend later, Cheney throws his weight around with a big endorsement for John McCain. I bet McCain wishes he never heard of SC, swiftboats, Sarah Palin , George W Bush and Dick Cheney. His timming was bad as he didn't join in with the neocons when neocon times was hopping but as soon as they took office and threw him under the bus, then he joined in thinking the cons could put him into higher places and now the wheels jump off for the cons and now he gets his big W and Cheney endorsement as they pick him a woman on his vp ticket he probably never had even heard of before they sent her to him. It is even now showing his(Mac's) senator run seat in 2010 and a lady out ahead of him big time. A democrat(lady) out in front of Big Mac. Makes me wonder if he will even stay in politics in 2010. Big Mac was a day late and a dollar short. He should have stayed with whom he was.