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Old 03-27-2023, 01:40 PM   #26
EricaLubarsky
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Location: Scottsdale, AZ
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===========TANK STANDINGS=========
14th - 2.4% of keeping pick (all top 4)
13th - 4.79% of keeping the pick (all top 4)
12th - 7.12% of keeping the pick (all top 4)
11th - 9.41% chance of keeping pick (all top 4)
------------------climb the ladder-------------------
10th - 79.78% chance of keeping our pick (13.88% chance of a top 4)
------------------tank/fall further--------------------
9th - 96.89% chance of keeping our pick (20.27% chance of a top 4)
8th - 99.6% chance of keeping our pick (28.9% chance of a top 4)

================TIE SCENARIOS=====================
-----------10/11/12 tie - 32.10% chance of keeping pick
-----------10/11 tie - 44.6% chance of keeping pick
-----------9/10 tie - 88.34% chance of keeping pick

================STANDINGS================
7th - Washington/Indiana. -3.0 games (unlikely)
8th - Washington/Indiana. -3.0 games (unlikely)
9th - Jazz -0.5games
10th - MAVS
11th - Bulls +0.5games
12th - Thunder/Raptors/Hawks +1.0 games
13th - Thunder/Raptors/Hawks +1.0 games
14th - Thunder/Raptors/Hawks +1.0 games

We are within 0.5 games of moving up to 9th in draft odds. Sadly, we are also only one game back for 14th. (11th-14th would almost certainly lose us the pick). 7th/8th is almost statistically impossible with seven (7) games left.

If Mavs went 0-7 and Pacers/Wizards went 4-3 it could happen.

Pacers are 2-5 in last 7 and play the Bucks, Thunder, Cavs, and NYK twice
Wizards are 2-5 in last 7 too and play the Celtics, Knicks, Bucks and Heat.

Last edited by EricaLubarsky; 03-27-2023 at 01:47 PM.
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