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Old 07-29-2012, 02:32 AM   #57
sefant77
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My thoughts about the pipedream:

He wont make it into the 2013 FA. The Magic gonna trade him until the deadline for sure. Some value, dumping JRich or Hedo and maybe control his destiny a little bit (WC instead of Nets/EC etc).

Maybe he wont make it even into the season. Huge distraction for the team and probably ugly homegame atmospheres. Pretty sure the Magic dont want this the entire year. Specially because they cant semi-punish him with a no trade ("ok, sign then for a crappy team") since we are a good franchise with cap.

Bynum signing an extension would be pretty bad because thats probably the best trade the Magic can fall back at any time until the deadline). Without extension not so much because he can straight walk away. So lets see if he want to secure the money or prefer to control his destiny without risking ending up in Cleveland or Toronto etc.

Lopez? The Magic dont like him and they dont wanna ship Dwight to his preferred destination (and an EC team). With the Nets S5 i dont see him piling up great stats (maybe something like 16/7), so there has to be a team liking Lopez so much that they ship the Magic something really really nice. I dont see such a team right now.

So if Bynum signs an extension we have to beat the Bynum package (or the potential 3 Way package deal).

Thats tough because our value are crappy firstrounder, Collison/Roddy as RFA and Mayo pretty much being an UFA again, Wright as minor interesting talent etc. A breakout season from several guys would help a lot.

Hedos last year is just six millions guaranteed, Jrich has 2/12 left so the Magic would probably prefer Jrich over Hedo.

If the Magic would really trade with us its probably look like that:
http://basketball.realgm.com/tradech..._trade/6133014

Dwight/Jrich for Kaman/Jones/Jones/Wright/Carter and then Collison or Beaubois (depending who has the better season), picks and three million.

Collison or Roddy because they just extended Nelson and they are both RFA.

Probably the Magic would demand Mayo instead of Carter but lets see, you could argue that Mayo would walk away from the post Dwight Magic team because its pretty much a 15-20 win team for longer time.

So in our pipedream we could probably roll out:

Collison/West (maybe Roddy instead of Collison)
Mayo/West/Jrich (probably Carter instead of Mayo)
Marion/Crowder
Dirk/Brand
Dwight/Brand/James

Still: Pray that Bynum doesnt sign an extension. Our package could beat the EC Nets/Lopez package or an expiring Bynum.And that no 3rd team offer something stupid for Lopez.

Last edited by sefant77; 07-29-2012 at 02:52 AM.
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