Dallas-Mavs.com Forums - View Single Post - Obama beats McCain in three swing states: poll

chumdawg · 07-31-2008, 08:51 PM

You're right that the polls mean nothing, at least as far as this election goes. For one thing, the #1 reason Obama was able to defeat Hillary was that he was able to get new voters registered. I imagine that there are a whole lot of people still unregistered who will yet register and cast votes for Obama in this election. The views of those people are not included in polls like these.

There is also the issue, as I understand it, of how these polls are executed when it comes to telephone numbers. I understand that those without a land line are not included in the polls. Older people are more likely to have a land line than younger people are, and there are other distinctions that can be drawn as well.

Bottom line is that Obama support seems to be underrepresented in polls.

My opinion is that if you don't get the sense that Obama is starting to run away from McCain like McCain is tied to a post, then your political senses are not at all well tuned.

07-31-2008, 08:51 PM	#147
chumdawg Guru Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Cowboys Country Posts: 23,336	You're right that the polls mean nothing, at least as far as this election goes. For one thing, the #1 reason Obama was able to defeat Hillary was that he was able to get new voters registered. I imagine that there are a whole lot of people still unregistered who will yet register and cast votes for Obama in this election. The views of those people are not included in polls like these. There is also the issue, as I understand it, of how these polls are executed when it comes to telephone numbers. I understand that those without a land line are not included in the polls. Older people are more likely to have a land line than younger people are, and there are other distinctions that can be drawn as well. Bottom line is that Obama support seems to be underrepresented in polls. My opinion is that if you don't get the sense that Obama is starting to run away from McCain like McCain is tied to a post, then your political senses are not at all well tuned.