Dallas-Mavs.com Forums - View Single Post - Obama beats McCain in three swing states: poll

Janett_Reno · 11-03-2008, 01:12 AM

These are interesting seeing these daily polls chart form. This is FL

http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/FLPoll.htm

It is close but looking at the polls, Obama keeps about a 2 point lead, i am guessing average on all these polls. So Obama looks good in FL. It can go either way but Obama has a good chance in FL.

Next poll IN

http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/INPoll.htm

This is neck and neck close. Obama has never really jumped out ahead to many times and every now and then McCain has had a small lead but this state looks so so close. McCain can not shake him in IN. A democrat hasn't won here in ages. Where i give Obama a small edge in FL by maybe 2 points or so, i think i would give McCain an edge in IN by 1 or 2 points.

NM is a done deal. Obama has won.

http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/NMPoll.htm

Here in PA, McCain closed some but i don't see where McCain can win. I give him credit trying in PA andf trying hard but he can't overcome the Clintons, Biden, and Rendell. Most of these states i am reporting on here are Romney helpers, not Pain. Palin helps her 35% base but not women, independents and democrats. Here is a better look at PA. Obama will carry PA more than what Kerry and Gore did. I'll put Obama as a win in PA at 6 to 9 points. That is a big spread from what dems have been doing in last elections.

http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/PAPoll.htm

Obama has to big a lead in national polls. Bush had 2 or 3 point lead on Kerry and Gore and he won.

http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/PresPoll.htm

WI is over. Obama has won here.

http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/WIPoll.htm

Thisis a good map here and you can see the ev totals with Obama a blowout. Obama should win the ones they have blue and light blue with maybe OH to close to call but yes Obama has a lead in OH. Even FL and NC are shaded Obama but very close. They even have IN and MO a tie. I think we have a blow out. In my mind i thought Obama would secure FL maybe before he did OH but and neither state is secure and both leaning Obama but OH looks stronger than FL for Obama. I think the connection of Obama in IL, Biden connection in DE and PA, then the Clintons strong all down thru there was to much thru that part of the map.

The gop party took two from the west and one far west. Look what is happening in northeast, sweeping down to VA, NC and all the way over to IL and states in between and then the north. The more i look at this, the race will be over fast Tuesday night. WV and KY should hold up for the gop but many are going to fall for the dems. Even AZ sandwitched around Cali, NM, NV and CO is starting to turn to Obama. Dean, Dean the yelling machine is going to Big Macs state Monday and going to try to turn AZ to blue Tuesday.

Man oh man, a FL, OH and VA and throw in NC sweep for the dems and pair it up with NC, CO and IA staying with Obama from the beginning. Who knows when they start talking about GA, AZ and IN. Take it over 300 ev's Obama. Color that whole map blue. Get er done.

11-03-2008, 01:12 AM	#724
Janett_Reno Platinum Member Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 2,150	These are interesting seeing these daily polls chart form. This is FL http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/FLPoll.htm It is close but looking at the polls, Obama keeps about a 2 point lead, i am guessing average on all these polls. So Obama looks good in FL. It can go either way but Obama has a good chance in FL. Next poll IN http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/INPoll.htm This is neck and neck close. Obama has never really jumped out ahead to many times and every now and then McCain has had a small lead but this state looks so so close. McCain can not shake him in IN. A democrat hasn't won here in ages. Where i give Obama a small edge in FL by maybe 2 points or so, i think i would give McCain an edge in IN by 1 or 2 points. NM is a done deal. Obama has won. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/NMPoll.htm Here in PA, McCain closed some but i don't see where McCain can win. I give him credit trying in PA andf trying hard but he can't overcome the Clintons, Biden, and Rendell. Most of these states i am reporting on here are Romney helpers, not Pain. Palin helps her 35% base but not women, independents and democrats. Here is a better look at PA. Obama will carry PA more than what Kerry and Gore did. I'll put Obama as a win in PA at 6 to 9 points. That is a big spread from what dems have been doing in last elections. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/PAPoll.htm Obama has to big a lead in national polls. Bush had 2 or 3 point lead on Kerry and Gore and he won. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/PresPoll.htm WI is over. Obama has won here. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/WIPoll.htm Thisis a good map here and you can see the ev totals with Obama a blowout. Obama should win the ones they have blue and light blue with maybe OH to close to call but yes Obama has a lead in OH. Even FL and NC are shaded Obama but very close. They even have IN and MO a tie. I think we have a blow out. In my mind i thought Obama would secure FL maybe before he did OH but and neither state is secure and both leaning Obama but OH looks stronger than FL for Obama. I think the connection of Obama in IL, Biden connection in DE and PA, then the Clintons strong all down thru there was to much thru that part of the map. The gop party took two from the west and one far west. Look what is happening in northeast, sweeping down to VA, NC and all the way over to IL and states in between and then the north. The more i look at this, the race will be over fast Tuesday night. WV and KY should hold up for the gop but many are going to fall for the dems. Even AZ sandwitched around Cali, NM, NV and CO is starting to turn to Obama. Dean, Dean the yelling machine is going to Big Macs state Monday and going to try to turn AZ to blue Tuesday. Man oh man, a FL, OH and VA and throw in NC sweep for the dems and pair it up with NC, CO and IA staying with Obama from the beginning. Who knows when they start talking about GA, AZ and IN. Take it over 300 ev's Obama. Color that whole map blue. Get er done.