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Originally Posted by Male30Dan
So your entire stance is that a team that splits the first two games, wins both at home, has a 3-1 lead and moves on to the road has as good of a chance of closing the series out as...
a team that splits the first two games, wins both at home, has a 3-1 lead and has a final game at home?
This being the case because past results have turned out that way? Do you know how fucking stupid that makes you look?
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That is not my entire stance. My entire stance involves weighing all possible benefits and risks associated having the middle three games at home and the last two on the road. Most people tend to obsess over one scenario and pretend it somehow dominates all others.
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By the way, next time in Vegas, hit the game of roulette up. Look for the amazingly hot table where one color has hit some X number of times in a row - preferably 6-10 times. Walk up and put all your money on that same color because, you know, history shows that is what will happen again.
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A pitiful misunderstanding of formulating and testing hypotheses.