Well hopefully all of this should be a moot point sometime very soon. My guess is that if Muqtada is lucky, he will be rotting in a cell before too long. If he's not, then a .50 caliber sniper bullet or 2000 lb bomb may already have his name on it.
Muqtada al-Sadr took a murderous gamble in launching this penny-ante revolt of his, and and in doing so spilled the blood of US GI's. We'll just have to see what that buys this man of religion in coming days...