Will the Heat stop jacking up threes now?

[chumdawg]

Originally Posted by CadBane

When it continues, it is a statistical anomaly.

Yes, that is true. If it continues over some significant stretch, after going long enough without it, then something has likely changed. That doesn't necessarily mean, however, that what is changed is the guy's shooting ability. Could be that open shots weren't there before, in the last sample, and now they were.

Keep in mind that 40-point games from Dirk are statistical anomalies, too, if you want to look at it that way. Doesn't mean that they aren't always lurking, if the situation avails itself.

I'm not trying to fight with you. I'm just saying that Lebron and/or Wade may decide to rise up and hit a few more threes in this series, and maybe at a big clip, and especially if we roll the red carpet for them. If they do that, I wouldn't be one to say "No way! He's a 35% shooter!"

[CadBane]

Originally Posted by chumdawg

Yes, that is true. If it continues over some significant stretch, after going long enough without it, then something has likely changed. That doesn't necessarily mean, however, that what is changed is the guy's shooting ability. Could be that open shots weren't there before, in the last sample, and now they were.

Keep in mind that 40-point games from Dirk are statistical anomalies, too, if you want to look at it that way. Doesn't mean that they aren't always lurking, if the situation avails itself.

I'm not trying to fight with you. I'm just saying that Lebron and/or Wade may decide to rise up and hit a few more threes in this series, and maybe at a big clip, and especially if we roll the red carpet for them. If they do that, I wouldn't be one to say "No way! He's a 35% shooter!"

My problem is all of them hitting beyond their norm at the same time.

Bibby going 4-7 (yes, many are wide open...but ALL of Bibby's looks have been this good all year) when he's shooting under 30% for 16 games.

LBJ & Wade hitting contested threes when they usually hit below 30% and below 35%, respectively.

You throw all that in a blender, at the same time, that's when it stretches things.

[chumdawg]

Originally Posted by CadBane

My problem is all of them hitting beyond their norm at the same time.

Bibby going 4-7 (yes, many are wide open...but ALL of Bibby's looks have been this good all year) when he's shooting under 30% for 16 games.

LBJ & Wade hitting contested threes when they usually hit below 30% and below 35%, respectively.

You throw all that in a blender, at the same time, that's when it stretches things.

Okay. Fair enough. Probably has you feeling pretty good about Mavs in five, doesn't it? No arguments here!