Who Do You Like In The Draft?

[Robillion]

Interesting data..

Specifically, the model assesses the probability that a player’s early-career SPM will land him in each of four categories:

Superstar: We’re talking players like Anthony Davis here (about one of these per draft class).
Starter: This bucket includes solid players like Shane Battier and Kyle Lowry (about 10 per class).
Role player: These are the Jarrett Jacks and Tony Allens of the world (25 per class).
Bust: Hello, Michael Beasley! (This bucket consists of everyone not in the first three, including replacement-level players who will never actually appear in the NBA.)

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/.../?ex_cid=538fb

[Bryan_Wilson]

So according to this... 6'nothin Tyus Jones is possibly the "safest" pg in the entire draft? And not safe as in role player... safe as in not a bust and at the same time a starting caliber player? That doesn't change the fact that his small frame and underwhelming quickness and athleticism as a whole scares the crap out of me if he were our pick. If he was coming out 10 years ago he would be a no brainer to me. I'm worried he isn't quick enough for the pg's in today's NBA though. I will say that one of the things you can't overlook is if a guy has "it" and he seems to have "it". The Mavs fan in me is really tired of undersized guards. The Basketball fan in me can't help but think he's just one of those guys who just flat out wins. I like him 1000 times more than I liked Larkin coming out.

[Robillion]

I'm willing to bet that Tyus Jones will not be available at 21. He'll be picked by Houston(of all f'n teams) at 18.