Fire Kidd

[washedklean77]

This will be an unpopular take, but I think it's best that the Mavs completely miss the playoffs. It will force Cuban to have to make some changes in the offseason.

[tap2390]

Originally Posted by washedklean77

This will be an unpopular take, but I think it's best that the Mavs completely miss the playoffs. It will force Cuban to have to make some changes in the offseason.

I completely agree. Will also give us a very valuable asset (our pick) in a crucial offseason.

[EricaLubarsky]

Originally Posted by tap2390

I completely agree. Will also give us a very valuable asset (our pick) in a crucial offseason.

Missing the playoffs will not guarantee we keep the pick. In fact, we are almost guaranteed to NOT keep the pick.

Statistically, we are unlikely to drop out of the play-in. Assuming we lose the play-in and thus miss the playoffs, we would have roughly a 4% chance of a top-10 pick, which means a 95-96% chance that New York gets a 13th/14th pick.

It is statistically possible to drop out of the play-in as well, but...
A) We are unlikely to lose the tanking race against the Lakers (no LeBron, unhappy Davis), Blazers, Rockets, Thunder, and Spurs. Lakers are better, but without LeBron they are nothing. I don't think we can beat the other four teams in tankage.
B) Even if we did get to 11th, it only gets us a 9% chance of keeping the pick. In other words, a 91% chance Knicks gets a very nice 11th/12th pick.

[washedklean77]

Originally Posted by EricaLubarsky

Missing the playoffs will not guarantee we keep the pick. In fact, we are almost guaranteed to NOT keep the pick.

Statistically, we are unlikely to drop out of the play-in. Assuming we lose the play-in and thus miss the playoffs, we would have roughly a 4% chance of a top-10 pick, which means a 95-96% chance that New York gets a 13th/14th pick.

It is statistically possible to drop out of the play-in as well, but...
A) We are unlikely to lose the tanking race against the Lakers (no LeBron, unhappy Davis), Blazers, Rockets, Thunder, and Spurs. Lakers are better, but without LeBron they are nothing. I don't think we can beat the other four teams in tankage.
B) Even if we did get to 11th, it only gets us a 9% chance of keeping the pick. In other words, a 91% chance Knicks gets a very nice 11th/12th pick.

Lets not forget that the Mavs strength of schedule for the remainder of the season is officially a moot point as this team has proven that they can lose to anyone. So while the teams that live underneath the Mavs in the standings at this time may very well play around .500 ball for the remainder of the season, the Mavs may do worse. I fully anticipate the Mavs being a game under .500 come Sunday night.

[DevinHarriswillstart]

Originally Posted by washedklean77

This will be an unpopular take, but I think it's best that the Mavs completely miss the playoffs. It will force Cuban to have to make some changes in the offseason.

Only problem with this is that means Irving is gone for sure along with Wood.

So you're then hoping the Lakers give you something of value in a S&T. People mention Davis, but I don't see that happening. You just have to hope to get someone like Vanderbilt which would still be a total disaster from what we gave up.

[washedklean77]

Originally Posted by DevinHarriswillstart

Only problem with this is that means Irving is gone for sure along with Wood.

So you're then hoping the Lakers give you something of value in a S&T. People mention Davis, but I don't see that happening. You just have to hope to get someone like Vanderbilt which would still be a total disaster from what we gave up.

I think Irving rolls out regardless of the outcome of this season. We're supposed to be seeing the A+ version of him right now being that he's auditioning for the best possible contract during this upcoming offseason. And what we're learning is that this version of him doesn't bode well for the identity of this team - whatever that identity is.

Just let the team crash and burn and allow Cuban to operate in a sense of desperation this offseason. He'll be more willing to spend money via this approach.

[SMC0007]

Originally Posted by washedklean77

I think Irving rolls out regardless of the outcome of this season. We're supposed to be seeing the A+ version of him right now being that he's auditioning for the best possible contract during this upcoming offseason. And what we're learning is that this version of him doesn't bode well for the identity of this team - whatever that identity is.

Just let the team crash and burn and allow Cuban to operate in a sense of desperation this offseason. He'll be more willing to spend money via this approach.

I'm betting big that Kai is gone. Ray Charles can see the state of this organization. Luka or not. What player wants to take this on, especially a player that has a good look at the inside? The newness will wear off right on time and we'll be lucky to extract anything out of the move to get him.

I'm not seeing near what I thought I would from Kryie either. He isn't showing the leadership I hoped for. He's not taking over when we need it. It's just flashes of brilliance on offense then stretches where he's stagnant. I know what he's capable of but there is no consistency.