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Old 10-13-2004, 12:13 PM   #1
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Default 368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Economists' Statement On John Kerry's Economic Agenda

To whom it may concern:

We, the undersigned, strongly oppose key aspects of the economic agenda that John Kerry has offered in his bid for the U.S. presidency.

John Kerry says he "is committed to balancing the budget," but he has proposed additional spending that some analysts have estimated could cost as much as $226.1 billion annually ($2.261 trillion over ten years). He promises to "end corporate welfare as we know it" by implementing the "McCain-Kerry commission on corporate welfare," but he also proposes to provide additional "tax credits and subsidies to manufacturers" that meet his criteria.

Entitlement reform is the most important fiscal challenge facing the country, yet Kerry's approach has been to deny that any fix is needed. Indeed, Kerry criticized the recent Medicare expansion for not being large enough.

John Kerry has proposed tax increases that threaten to sap the economy's vitality and reduce long-term growth. Specifically, Kerry proposes to "restore the top two [income] tax rates to their levels under President Clinton." He would also, among other things, "restore the capital gains and dividend rates for families making over $200,000 on income earned above $200,000 to their levels under President Clinton." Kerry's stated desire to balance the budget and to boost federal spending substantially would almost certainly require far higher and broader tax increases than he has proposed.

John Kerry boasts that his economic policies will lead to the creation of 10 million jobs in his first term as president. As Martin Sullivan wrote last April in the strictly non-partisan Tax Notes, no one "has presented any analysis to relate the Kerry plan to the creation of 1 million jobs, much less 10 million jobs." In fact, we believe Kerry's proposals would, over time, inhibit capital formation, depress productivity growth, and make the United States less competitive internationally. The end result would be lower U.S. employment and real wage growth.

John Kerry has expressed a general reluctance to reduce trade barriers. He has promised, if elected, to "review existing trade agreements." He vows not to "sign any new trade agreements until the review is complete and its recommendations [are] put in place." That's a prescription for political gridlock. Given the widespread benefits of unfettered trade, Kerry's trade policies would harm U.S. producers and consumers alike.

All in all, John Kerry favors economic policies that, if implemented, would lead to bigger and more intrusive government and a lower standard of living for the American people.

Note : Affiliations are provided for identification purposes only. The organizations listed below should in no way be considered as endorsing the views of the individual.



Burton A. Abrams
University of Delaware

Douglas K. Adie
Ohio University

Richard Agnello
University of Delaware

William Albrecht
University of Iowa

Donald L. Alexander
Western Michigan University

William R. Allen
University of California , Los Angeles

Ryan C. Amacher
University of Texas-Arlington

Annelise Anderson
The Hoover Institution, Stanford University

Martin Amderson
The Hoover Institution, Stanford University

Wayne Angell
Angell Economics (proprietor)

Jim Araji
University of Idaho

Richard K. Armey
Former U.S. House Majority Leader

John Baden
Foundation for Research on Economics and the Environment

Charles W. Baird
California State University , Hayward

Anatol Balbach
Private Economist

Ray Ball
University of Chicago

A. Paul Ballantyne
University of Colorado at Colorado Springs

King Banaian
St. Cloud State University

Andy Barnett
Auburn University

Howard J. Beales III
George Washington University

Stacie Beck
University of Delaware

Gary S. Becker
University of Chicago

Don Bellante
University of South Florida

David BenDaniel
Cornell University

Bruce Bender
University of Wisconsin — Milwaukee

Bruce L. Benson
Florida State University

M. Douglas Berg
Sam Houston State University

John J. Bethune
Barton College

Bob Bise
Orange Coast College

Michael K. Block
University of Arizona

Cecil E. Bohanon
Ball State University

Donald R. Booth
Chapman University

G. Geoffrey Booth
Michigan State University

George Borjas
Harvard University

George Borts
Brown University

Michael J. Boskin
Stanford University

John H. Boyd
University of Minnesota

Michael W. Brandl
The University of Texas at Austin

Wayne Brough
Citizens for a Sound Economy

David Brown
University of Wisconsin at Madison

William W. Brown
California State University , Northridge

John B. Bryant
Rice University

Phil Bryson
Brigham Young University

Andrzej Brzeski
University of California , Davis

Steve Buccola
Oregon State University

James Buchanan
George Mason University

Richard C. K. Burdekin
Claremont McKenna College

Rob Burrus
University of North Carolina — Wilmington

Jim Butkiewicz
University of Delaware

Steven Call
Metropolitan State College of Denver

Colin D. Campbell
Dartmouth College

Noel D. Campbell
North Georgia College and State University

Oral Capps, Jr.
Texas A&M University

John S. Chipman
University of Minnesota

Barry R. Chiswick
University of Illinois — Chicago

Richard H. Clarida
Columbia University

J.R. Clark
University of Tennessee

R. Morris Coats
Nicholls State University

Joe Cobb
Dana Point , California

Howard Cochran, Jr.
Belmont University

John P. Cochran
Metropolitan State College of Denver

John Cogan
The Hoover Institution, Stanford University

Boyd D. Collier
Tarleton State University

Roy Cordato
John Locke Foundation

Jim F. Couch
University of Northern Alabama

Eleanor Craig
University of Delaware

Ward S.Curran
Trinity College

Michael R. Darby
University of California , Los Angeles

Larry Davidson
Indiana University

Otto Davis
Carnegie Mellon University

Ronnie H. Davis
Florida Institute of Technology

Steve Davis
University of Chicago

Ed Day
University of Central Florida (retired)

Arthur De Vany
University of California , Irvine (emeritus)

Thomas DeLeire
Michigan State University

Gregory J. Delemeester
Marietta College

Henry Demmert
Santa Clara University

Christopher DeMuth
American Enterprise Institute

Craig A. Depken, II
Private economist

William G. Dewald
Ohio State University

Arthur M. Diamond, Jr.
University of Nebraska at Omaha

Jeff Dorfman
University of Georgia

William C. Dunkelberg
Temple University

Robert M. Dunn, Jr.
George Washington University

Parnell Duverger
Broward Community College

Dennis S. Edwards
Coastal Carolina University

Isaac Ehrlich
State University of New York at Buffalo

Jeffrey A. Eisenach
CapAnalysis, LLC

Dennis F. Ellis
University of Michigan at Flint

Michael A. Ellis
Kent State University

Eric Engen
American Enterprise Institute

Michael R. Englund
Action Economics, LLC

Stephen J. Entin
Institute for Research on the Economics of Taxation

Michael Erickson
Albertson College

Richard E. Ericson
East Carolina University

Fred G. Esposto
Kutztown University

Paul Evans
Ohio State University

Frank Falero
California State University (emeritus)

Allen M. Featherstone
Kansas State University

Martin Feldstein
Harvard University

Paul J. Feldstein
University of California , Irvine

Arthur A. Fleisher, III
Metro State College of Denver

Harold Flint
Montclair State University

Sean Flynn
Vassar College

Fred Foldvary
Santa Clara University

William F. Ford
Middle Tennessee State University

Blair L. Fortner
The Senate Majority Fund ( Missouri )

Micah Frankel
California State University

D. C. Frechtling
George Washington University

Gary L. French
Nathan Associates, Inc.

Milton Friedman
The Hoover Institution

Kenneth C. Froewiss
New York University, Stern School of Business

B. Delworth Gardner
Brigham Young University

Dave Garthoff
University of Akron

Gerald Garvey
Claremont Graduate University

James F, Gatti
University of Vermont

Gregory M. Gelles
University of Missouri — Rolla

Joseph A. Giacalone
St. John's University

Adam Gifford
California State University, Northridge

Otis W. Gilley
Louisiana Tech University

Edward L. Glaeser
Harvard University

Amy Jocelyn Glass
Texas A&M University

Richard F. Gleisner
St. Cloud State University

Charles J. Goetz
University of Virginia

Rodolfo A. Gonzalez
San Jose State University

John C. Goodman
National Center for Policy Analysis

Richard L. Gordon
Pennsylvania State University

Ernie Goss
Creighton University

Scott F. Grannis
Western Asset Management

Bettina Bien Greaves
Foundation for Economic Education

William B. Green
Sam Houston State University

Ken Greene
Binghamton University

John Greenhut
Arizona State University West

Earl L. Grinols, III
Baylor University

Daniel M. Gropper
Auburn University

James Gwartney
Florida State University

Rik Hafer
Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville

Dennis Halcoussis
California State University, Northridge

Stephen Happel
Arizona State University

Scott Harrington
University of South Carolina

James E. Hartley
Mount Holyoke College

Kevin Hassett
American Enterprise Institute

Joel W. Hay
University of Southern California

Cary Heath
University of Louisiana at Lafayette

Robert H. Heidt
Indiana University at Bloomington

Dale M. Heien
University of California, Davis

Robert B. Helms
American Enterprise Institute

James W. Henderson
Baylor University

Robert Herren
North Dakota State University

Irving Hoch
University of Texas at Dallas (emeritus)

Harold M. Hochman
Lafayette College (emeritus)

Robert J. Hodrick
Columbia University

Milton L. Holloway
Resource Economics, Inc.

George Horwich
Purdue University (emeritus)

Glenn Hubbard
Columbia University

James L. Huffman
Lewis & Clark Law School

Larry Hunter
Empower America

E. Bruce Hutchinson
University of Tennessee at Chattanooga

Selahattin Imrohoroglu
University of Southern California

Chris Inama
Golden Gate University

F. Jerry Ingram
University of Louisiana-Monroe

F. Owen Irvine
Michigan State University

Steve Jackstadt
University of Alaska — Anchorage

Joseph M. Jadlow
Oklahoma State University

Austin Jaffe
Penn State University

Sherry Jarrell
Wake Forest University

Michael C. Jensen
Harvard Business School

Dennis A. Johnson
University of South Dakota (emeritus)

Clifton T. Jones
Stephen F. Austin State University

Jerry L. Jordan
Fraser Institute

Richard E. Just
University of Maryland

Alexander Katkov
Johnson & Wales University

Raymond J.Keating
Small Business Survival Committee

Kristen Keith
University of Toledo

Calvin A. Kent
Marshall University

B.F. Kiker
University of South Carolina

Robin Klay
Hope College

Paul Koch
Olivet Nazarene University

Meir Kohn
Dartmouth College

James W. Kolari
Texas A&M University

Roger Kormendi
University of Michigan Business School

Melvyn Krauss
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

Robert C. Krol
California State University at Northridge

Randall S. Kroszner
University of Chicago

Michael M. Kurth
McNeese State University

Richard La Near
Missouri Southern State University

Arthur B. Laffer
Laffer Associates

William E. Laird
Florida State University

Deepak Lal
University of California — Los Angeles

Russell Lamb
Economic Consultant, Washington , D.C.

Nicholas A. Lash
Loyola University

Robert A. Lawson
Capital University

Ed Lazear
Stanford University

Don R. Leet
California State University at Fresno

John Leeth
Bentley College

Ken Lehn
University of Pittsburgh

Noreen Lephardt
Marquette University

Adam Lerrick
University of Nebraska — Lincoln

Cotton M. Lindsay
Clemson University

Larry Lindsey
American Enterprise Institute

Allan E. Lines
Ohio State University

Luis Locay
University of Miami

Dennis E. Logue
University of Oklahoma

James R. Lothian
Fordham University

John Lott
American Enterprise Institute

Lawrence W. Lovik
Troy State University

Harold I. Lunde
Bowling Green State University (emeritus)

John Lunn
Hope College

Donald L. Luskin
Trend Macrolytics

Paul W. MacAvoy
Yale University

Glenn MacDonald
Washington University

Doug MacKenzie
Ramapo College of New Jersey

Joseph P. Magaddino
California State University, Long Beach

Burton Malkiel
Princeton University

Yuri N. Maltsev
Carthage College

Henry G. Manne
George Mason University School of Law (emeritus)

Richard Manning
Pfizer, Inc.

Dick Marcus
University of Wisconsin — Milwaukee

Michael L. Marlow
California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo

Craig Marxsen
University of Nebraska at Kearney

Scott Masten
University of Michigan

John G. Matsusaka
University of Southern California

Merrill Matthews
Institute for Policy Innovation

Paul W. McCracken
University of Michigan

Rachel McCulloch
Brandeis University

Lawrence J. McQuillan
Pacific Research Institute

Tom Means
San Jose State University

David I. Meiselman
Virginia Tech (emeritus)

Allan Meltzer
Carnegie Mellon University

Lloyd J. Mercer
University of California, Santa Barbara

John Merrifield
University of Texas at San Antonio

Jim Miller
Former Reagan Budget Director

Tracy Miller
Grove City College

David E. Mills
University of Virginia

Mario J. Miranda
Ohio State University

Ronald L. Moomaw
Oklahoma State University

Steve Moore
Club for Growth

John C. Moorhouse
Wake Forest University

Paul Morgan
Westmont College

Michael A. Morrisey
University of Alabama at Birmingham

Andrew P. Morriss
Case Western University

Robert Mundell
Columbia University

Michael Munger
Duke University

John Murray
University of Toledo

Anthony Negbenebor
Gardner-Webb University

Jon P. Nelson
Penn State University

George Neumann
University of Iowa

Seth Norton
Wheaton College

William H. Oakland
Tulane University

Lee E. Ohanian
University of California , Los Angeles

David J. O'Hara
Metropolitan State University

June O'Neill
Baruch College, City University of New York

Lydia Ortega
San Jose State University

Bill Orzechowski
Orzechowski and Walker

Karen Palasek
John Locke Foundation

Randall E. Parker
East Carolina University

E.C. Pasour, Jr.
North Carolina State University

Judd W. Patton
Bellevue University

William Peirce
Case Western Reserve University (emeritus)

Tim Perri
Appalachian State University

Mark J. Perry
University of Michigan — Flint

William H. Peterson
Heritage Foundation

Christopher Pflaum
Spectrum Economics, Inc.

Charles R. Plott
California Institute of Technology

Ivan Pongracic, Jr.
Hillsdale College

Barry Poulson
University of Colorado

Edward C. Prescott
Arizona State University

Jan S. Prybyla
Pennsylvania State University

Richard Rahn
Discovery Institute

John Rapp
University of Dayton

Eric Rasmusen
Indiana University

Martin A. Regalia
United States Chamber of Commerce

Spencer S. Reibman
Georgia State University

Ralph R. Reiland
Robert Morris University

George Reisman
Pepperdine University

Christine P. Ries
Georgia Institute of Technology

Nancy Roberts
Arizona State University

David C. Rose
University of Missouri

Robert J. Rossana
Wayne State University

Timothy Roth
University of Texas at El Paso

Charles K. Rowley
George Mason University

Paul H. Rubin
Emory University

Roy Ruffin
University of Houston

John Ruggiero
University of Dayton

Mark Rush
University of Florida

Gary J. Santoni
Ball State University (emeritus)

Thomas R. Saving
Texas A&M University

Mike Schuyler
Institute for Research on the Economics of Taxation

G. William Schwert
University of Rochester

Carole E. Scott
State University of West Georgia

John J. Seater
North Carolina State University

Carlos Seiglie
Rutgers University

Richard T. Selden
University of Virginia

Barry J. Seldon
University of Texas at Dallas

John Semmens
Phoenix College

Jacobus T. Severiens
John Carroll University

Sol S. Shalit
University of Wisconsin

Alan C. Shapiro
University of Southern California

Stephen Shmanske
California State University, Hayward

William F. Shughart II
University of Mississippi

George P. Shulrz
The Hoover Institution, Stanford University

John E. Silvia
Wachovia

Neil T. Skaggs
Illinois State University

Charles Skipton
University of Tampa

Mark Skousen
Columbia University

Amy Smith
The Lindsey Group

Clifford W. Smith
Simon School of Business, University of Rochester

James F. Smith
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Kenneth R. Smith
University of Arizona

Neil Snyder
University of Virginia

Russell Sobel
West Virginia University

David L. Sollars
Washburn University

John C. Soper
John Carroll University

Douglas Southgate
Ohio State University

David E. Spencer
Brigham Young University

Frank Spreng
McKendree College

Beryl Sprinkel
B.W. Sprinkel Economics

Stan Spurlock
Mississippi State University

Ben Stein
Pepperdine University

Craig Stephenson
Babson College

E. Frank Stephenson
Berry College

Courtenay C. Stone
Ball State University

Marc Sumerlin
The Lindsey Group

Daniel A. Sumner
University of California, Davis

Richard Sweeney
Georgetown University

Thomas L. Tacker
University of Central Florida

Robert Tamura
Clemson University

Lester Telser
University of Chicago

Rebecca Thacker
Ohio University

Clifford T. Thies
Shenandoah University

Henry Thompson
Auburn University

Robert Tollison
Clemson University

Leo Troy
Rutgers University

David G. Tuerck
Suffolk University

Gordon Tullock
George Mason University

Charlotte Twight
Boise State University

Charles Upton
Kent State University

T. Norman Van Cott
Ball State University

Richard Vedder
Ohio University

Robert Vigil
Analysis Group, Inc.

J. Antonio Villamil
Former U.S. Under Secretary of Commerce for Economic Affairs

Kip Viscusi
Harvard University

John Volpe
Trinity College

Richard E. Wagner
George Mason University

William B Walstad
University of Nebraska — Lincoln.

John T. Warner
Clemson University

Thayer Watkins
San Jose State University

Andrew Weinbach
Armstrong Atlantic State University

Michael Welker
Franciscan University of Steubenville

John T. Wenders
University of Idaho

Walter J. Wessels
North Carolina State University

Robert Whaples
Wake Forest University

Gilbert Whitaker
Rice University

John Wicks
University of Montana

Gary W. Williams
Texas A&M University

Michael Williams
University of Denver

Walter E. Williams
George Mason University

Mark Wilson
Appalachian State University

Gary Wolfram
Hillsdale College

Gene C. Wunder
Washburn University

Richard Yamarone
Argus Research Group

DeVan L. Yoho
Ball State University

Andrew Yuengert
Pepperdine University

Paul Zak
Claremont Graduate University

Mokhlis Zaki
Northern Michigan University

Arnold Zellner
University of Chicago

Benjamin Zycher
Pacific Research Institute



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Old 10-13-2004, 12:17 PM   #2
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

368 Economists Against Kerrynomics
The challenger’s policies would bring “a lower standard of living for the American people.”

By J. Edward Carter & Cesar V. Conda
link

Leading economists have a message for America: “John Kerry favors economic policies that, if implemented, would lead to bigger and more intrusive government and a lower standard of living for the American people.”


That was the conclusion released in a statement (NOTE: this is the statement I posted above) Wednesday by 368 economists, including six Nobel laureates: Gary Becker, James Buchanan, Milton Friedman, Robert Lucas, Robert Mundell, and — the winner of this year’s Nobel Prize in Economics — Edward C. Prescott. The economists warned that Sen. Kerry’s policies “would, over time, inhibit capital formation, depress productivity growth, and make the United States less competitive internationally. The end result would be lower U.S. employment and real wage growth.”

Consider Kerry’s spending and tax proposals. Kerry claims he wants to balance the federal budget, but as the Washington Post pointed out last August, “Sen. John F. Kerry’s pledge to reduce record federal budget deficits is colliding with an obstacle that may be growing higher by the week: his own campaign commitments.” In fact, Kerry’s spending proposals would add an estimated $226 billion annually to federal spending. To put this in perspective, $226 billion is roughly equal to the gross domestic products of Greece or Sweden.

Kerry’s oft-repeated budget solution is to raise taxes on “families making over $200,000 on income earned above $200,000 to their levels under President Clinton.” This proposal would generate hundreds-of-billions of dollars over the next decade for the Treasury’s coffers. Kerry’s other proposed tax increases would generate billions more. Yet, these tax increases would offset only a fraction of Kerry’s new spending.

For instance, Senator Kerry’s government-run health insurance spending plan would by itself require a tax increase of more than $1 trillion. Two independent studies, one by the Lewin Group and another by the American Enterprise Institute, concluded that Kerry’s health insurance proposal would cost more than $1 trillion over the next 10 years. And that’s just one of Kerry’s spending proposals. To close the funding gap between all of his spending and tax promises, Kerry would have to raise taxes by an average of $1,431 for everyone who files an income-tax return.

The stark disconnect between Kerry’s spending and tax proposals is what prompted 368 leading economists to conclude, “Kerry’s stated desire to balance the budget and to boost federal spending substantially would almost certainly require far higher and broader tax increases than he has proposed.” And given Kerry’s voting record in the Senate — he has cast 98 votes for tax increases totaling more than $2.3 trillion throughout his legislative career — that is no idle threat.

It is no secret that John Kerry wants America’s foreign policy to be more like that of Germany and France. But perhaps even more disturbing, he has demonstrated that he wants to emulate their failed tax-and-spend economic policies, too. Over time, the consequences could be devastating. Consider the impact those policies have had on Europe. Germany and France once enjoyed standards of living comparable to those of the United States. Today, U.S. per capita GDP is 38 percent higher than that of Germany and 43 percent higher than that of France. Indeed, as economist Bruce Bartlett recently pointed out, “On average, Europeans only live about as well as those in the poorest American state, Mississippi.”

The 368 economists only briefly touched upon Kerry’s trade policies. As it happens, there is not much upon which to comment. Kerry has expressed a general reluctance to reduce trade barriers, and he has promised, if elected, to “review existing trade agreements.” His applause line is that he vows not to “sign any new trade agreements until the review is complete and its recommendations [are] put in place.” According to the 368 economists, “That's a prescription for political gridlock. Given the widespread benefits of unfettered trade, Kerry’s trade policies would harm U.S. producers and consumers alike.”

Finally, we have all heard John Kerry denigrate the present rate of job creation. Yet, according to latest Bureau of Labor Statistics employment report, 1.9 million jobs have been created since August 2003. And at 5.4 percent, the unemployment rate is below the average unemployment rates of the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s.

We have also heard Kerry’s solemn vow to create 10 million new jobs during his first term as president. But you probably have not heard that the U.S. economy is likely to create about that many jobs over the next four years under current policy.

During the first nine months of 2004 — while Kerry was criticizing the pace of employment growth — payroll employment grew an average of more than 170,000 jobs a month. At that rate, the next administration would preside over the creation of roughly 8.2 million net new jobs. And yet, as Martin Sullivan pointed out in Tax Notes, Kerry has not presented one objective analysis to support his claim that his policies would create 1 million more jobs, much less 10 million more.

John Kerry has adopted the Walter Mondale approach to economics — increase taxes. Even advocates of Keynesian economics would not recommend raising taxes in the early stages of an economic recovery. Unlike Mondale, however, Kerry will wait until after the election to reveal all of the tax increases that will be required to pay for his government spending promises. Three hundred and sixty eight economists hope American voters will heed their warnings before it is too late.

— J. Edward Carter is an economist in Washington, D.C. Cesar V. Conda, formerly assistant for domestic policy to Vice President Dick Cheney, is a senior fellow at FreedomWorks in Washington, D.C.
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Old 10-13-2004, 12:21 PM   #3
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Default RE: 368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Holy crap! That list is a Who's Who list of economists in the United Sates. I know several of them personally, including Jim Henderson who has one of the sharpest minds that I have ever encountered. I know Dr. Capps at A&M. He came here and did a presentation that blew us all away. There are so many on that list who are heavy hitters it is amazing.


This is awfully damning to Kerry. I hope Bush has this and can assimilate this into tonights debate. ouch.
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Old 10-13-2004, 12:23 PM   #4
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

To close the funding gap between all of his spending and tax promises, Kerry would have to raise taxes by an average of $1,431 for everyone who files an income-tax return.


nuff said.
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Old 10-13-2004, 12:44 PM   #5
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Quote:
Originally posted by: Drbio
To close the funding gap between all of his spending and tax promises, Kerry would have to raise taxes by an average of $1,431 for everyone who files an income-tax return.


nuff said.
Exactly. Taxes will go up for ALL Americans, the standard of living will go down, and the economy will stagnate and stop growing. Is that what anybody wants?

Comments from folks intending to vote for Kerry are welcome.

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Old 10-13-2004, 01:27 PM   #6
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

www.economist.com


The economy and the election

The dismal science bites back


George Bush comes out worst in our poll of academic economists

WOULD John Kerry or George Bush do a better job stewarding America's economy? Judging by the polls, voters are not sure. Within the past couple of months both candidates have had narrow leads on the issue. Ask economics professors, however, and you get a clearer answer.

In an informal poll of 100 academics, conducted by The Economist, Mr Bush's policies win low marks. More than 70% of the 56 professors who responded to our survey rate Mr Bush's first-term economic policies as bad or very bad. Fewer than 20% give positive marks to Mr Bush's second-term economic agenda, and almost six out of ten disapproved. Mr Kerry hardly got rave reviews either, but his economic plan still fared better than the president's did. In all, four out of ten professors rated Mr Kerry's economic plan as good or very good, but 27% gave it negative scores. (The complete numbers are available at www.economist.com/economistspoll.)

Are our economists partisans? We chose their names, at random, from among the referees of the American Economic Review, one of the profession's more prestigious publications. Conservatives often moan that university professors are all left-wingers. Though most of our professors claim they are not interested in working in Washington, 80% of those who would accept a policy job would prefer to work for Mr Kerry. However, even if you allow for some partisanship, the results are fairly striking.

A third of the economists reckon the economy is in good or very good shape; about half give a neutral response, and one in five deems the economy to be weak. They are almost equally split about how much responsibility the Bush administration deserves for the state of today's economy. Just over a third assign some or all credit or blame to the president; another third think he has had little or nothing to do with it.

Despite their diverse assessments of today's economy, the professors are overwhelmingly critical of the central plank of Mr Bush's economic policy—tax cuts. More than seven out of ten respondents say the Bush administration's tax cuts were either a bad or a very bad idea, and a similar proportion disapproves of Mr Bush's plans to make his tax cuts permanent. By contrast, Mr Kerry's plan to roll back the tax cuts for people with incomes over $200,000 wins the support of seven in ten of them. (This poll was taken before October 4th, when Mr Bush signed into law his fourth tax cut, which extended several popular components of earlier tax cuts that were due to expire at the end of this year, including the child tax credit.)

The broad condemnation of tax cuts seems to be linked to the professors' worries about America's fiscal health and the looming retirement of the baby-boom generation. Although Americans overall seem relatively unconcerned about the budget deficit, a large majority of the economists rate it as a serious problem for the economy, with almost one in five describing it as a crisis. And they back Mr Kerry by a large margin (79% to 18%) to do more to promote fiscal discipline than Mr Bush. In contrast, the boffins seemed much less concerned by the current-account deficit; only one respondent called it a crisis, and close to 20% deemed it either a small problem or no problem at all.

Health care also seems to be an issue that pushed our economists towards Mr Kerry. More than 70% of the academics reckoned health-care costs were a serious problem for the economy—and they preferred Mr Kerry's plans to control those costs by a margin of 59% to 25% (with the rest ducking the question).

There was some good news for Mr Bush on tax reform. More than 40% of the academics hail his plan to simplify the tax code as a good or very good idea—twice as many as think it bad or very bad. Mr Kerry's main tax-reform proposal—ending the ability of foreign subsidiaries of American firms to defer taxes on their profits—was less well received. Around a third of the professors thought that was a good or very good idea, a third were neutral, and a third thought it was a bad idea.

On entitlement reform, the academics' opinions are harder to interpret. They are evenly split on the merits of Mr Bush's proposal to reform Social Security by creating personal retirement accounts: 36% think it is a good or very good idea, 38% a bad or very bad idea. Oddly, most of them think Mr Kerry offers better plans for dealing with the baby-boomers' retirement, even though he has not actually made any concrete proposals for entitlement reform.

One area where the economists clearly favour Mr Bush is trade. Mr Kerry's ranting about outsourcing has irritated economists: a huge majority dismiss outsourcing as either a small or non-existent problem, and almost 60% give Mr Kerry's trade policy a bad or very bad rating. Although they are plainly not wild about Mr Bush's record on trade, they back him by a margin of almost two-to-one to do more to help free trade and globalisation than Mr Kerry would.

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Old 10-13-2004, 01:30 PM   #7
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Default RE: 368 Economists against Kerrynomics

First off....academic professors are almost always liberal. I am not sure why. At least they cite that fact. So...56 liberally baised professors who opted to respond to this informal "poll" that you cite outweigh 386 of the most prominent and respected economists in the United States today? Your 56 aren't even identified. There are Nobel prize winners on kg_vet's list. Several of them. I'll go with the identified masses of uberintellectual economists over some obscure biased 56 who haven't even got the balls to identify themselves.

That list of kg_vets is so incredibly damning. There is no way Kerry can save face as this information leaks out and is absorbed into the fabric of this country.
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Old 10-13-2004, 02:28 PM   #8
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Quote:
Originally posted by: Drbio
First off....academic professors are almost always liberal. I am not sure why. At least they cite that fact. So...56 liberally baised professors who opted to respond to this informal "poll" that you cite outweigh 386 of the most prominent and respected economists in the United States today?
First of all, why the sudden animosity to university professors? Nearly 80% of the people on that petition are University professors and little else. Is it only 'biased' when they express a 'liberal' opinion? Hypocrite.

Secondly, no 56 'biased' professors don't outweigh 310 other 'biased' professors (whose alleged prestige and noteworthyness you spare no syllable in exaggerating). I was merely pointing out that it's hardly as 'damning' as you make it out to be, and that there a number of economists in universities just like the one's those professors are in (sometimes the same school) and think tanks just like those private economists are in that think John Kerry's economic platform is a good idea and George Bush's is a disaster. Economics, like any other discipline, has it's partisans (not that it interferes with their work) and it goes both ways. From post-keynesians like Paul Krugman or William Nordhaus, to laissez-faire militant Neoliberals like Milton Friedman. Both very respected economists. Both with olitical affiliations they wear on their sleeve, both have been wrong before.





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Old 10-13-2004, 02:37 PM   #9
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Quote:
Oddly, most of them think Mr Kerry offers better plans for dealing with the baby-boomers' retirement, even though he has not actually made any concrete proposals for entitlement reform.
so, are the professors in the economists poll that ill-informed, or are they that biased toward Kerry?

DrBio,
Academics are largely left leaning because so many are publicly funded (as are their customers, the students).
Also, intellectual elitism has been confounded with an anti-religious viewpoint for some time now.
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Old 10-13-2004, 03:07 PM   #10
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Quote:
Originally posted by: Epitome22
Quote:
Originally posted by: Drbio
First off....academic professors are almost always liberal. I am not sure why. At least they cite that fact. So...56 liberally baised professors who opted to respond to this informal "poll" that you cite outweigh 386 of the most prominent and respected economists in the United States today?
First of all, why the sudden animosity to university professors? Nearly 80% of the people on that petition are University professors and little else. Is it only 'biased' when they express a 'liberal' opinion? Hypocrite.

Secondly, no 56 'biased' professors don't outweigh 310 other 'biased' professors (whose alleged prestige and noteworthyness you spare no syllable in exaggerating). I was merely pointing out that it's hardly as 'damning' as you make it out to be, and that there a number of economists in universities just like the one's those professors are in (sometimes the same school) and think tanks just like those private economists are in that think John Kerry's economic platform is a good idea and George Bush's is a disaster. Economics, like any other discipline, has it's partisans (not that it interferes with their work) and it goes both ways. From post-keynesians like Paul Krugman or William Nordhaus, to laissez-faire militant Neoliberals like Milton Friedman. Both very respected economists. Both with olitical affiliations they wear on their sleeve, both have been wrong before.


Laughable that you would try to make this about animosity towards professors. You did know I am one right? [img]i/expressions/anim_roller.gif[/img] There is no disputing the FACT that a great majority of academic professors are liberal. There is no stab there...just fact. Stop trying to create a diversion from the theme.

I'm glad that you agree that 56 volunteer respondents don't outweigh 386 of the most respected economists in the world today. Nice save of face. You cannot also ignore the fact that so many Nobel laureates are reaching the same conclusion about kerrys plan. It will fail. These are the brightest minds in existence today in that field. Period. To a man they agree that kerrys plan is not workable.

Obviously economists (like every discipline) will fall along a line of political partisanship, however, you just hit on one where liberals dominate and dominate overwhelmingly. I happen to know a couple of these professors personally and I can assure you that they would not describe themselves as republican.

You cannot escape the fact that this is tremendously damning to sKerry. His butt is in full pucker mode right now to be sure.
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Old 10-13-2004, 03:08 PM   #11
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Quote:
Originally posted by: Usually Lurkin
Quote:
Oddly, most of them think Mr Kerry offers better plans for dealing with the baby-boomers' retirement, even though he has not actually made any concrete proposals for entitlement reform.
so, are the professors in the economists poll that ill-informed, or are they that biased toward Kerry?

DrBio,
Academics are largely left leaning because so many are publicly funded (as are their customers, the students).
Also, intellectual elitism has been confounded with an anti-religious viewpoint for some time now.

I knew that, but it just boggles my mind sometimes how such brilliant people can reach such confusing conclusions. That is where I was going with that remark.
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Old 10-13-2004, 04:05 PM   #12
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

[quote]
Originally posted by: Drbio
[quote]
[i]
Quote:
Originally posted by: Drbio



Laughable that you would try to make this about animosity towards professors. You did know I am one right? [img]i/expressions/anim_roller.gif[/img] There is no disputing the FACT that a great majority of academic professors are liberal. There is no stab there...just fact. Stop trying to create a diversion from the theme.
I wasn't making this about animosity towards professors. I was merely pointing out your hypocrisy of shnubbing the opinion of 56 economics professors with an alleged 'liberal' bias, while touting the musings of a statement that included 310 such university professors(who by virtue of expressing opinions a partisan such as yourself agrees with, exempt themselves from being tagged as 'biased' themselves.)




[quote]
Originally posted by: Drbio
[quote]
[i]
Quote:
Originally posted by: Drbio
I'm glad that you agree that 56 volunteer respondents don't outweigh 386 of the most respected economists in the world today. Nice save of face.

It wasn't a 'save of face' In fact if anything it pointed out how biased your and potentially their opinion is. And once again you spare no syllable in comically exaggerating the prestiege of some of these guys, many of who'm have done nothing outside the Ivory tower you allegedly deplore so much.

[quote]
Originally posted by: Drbio
[quote]
[i]
Quote:
Originally posted by: Drbio



You cannot also ignore the fact that so many Nobel laureates are reaching the same conclusion about kerrys plan.
Oh! Is this about Nobel Laureates? Ok then

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5818277/

10 Nobel economists endorse Kerry

George Akerlof and Daniel McFadden of the University of California at Berkeley, Kenneth Arrow and William Sharpe of Stanford University, Daniel Kahneman of Princeton University, Lawrence Klein of the University of Pennsylvania, Douglass North of Washington University, Paul Samuelson and Robert Solow of MIT and Joseph Stiglitz of Columbia University.

"The Democratic presidential nominee released a letter from the economists saying the Bush administration had “embarked on a reckless and extreme course that endangers the long-term economic health of our nation.”


They cited “poorly designed” tax cuts that instead of creating jobs have turned budget surpluses into enormous budget deficits, a “fiscal irresponsibility threatens the long-term economic security and prosperity of our nation.”

All hacks with no understanding of economics I'm sure. Someone should revoke their Nobel prizes.




[quote]
Originally posted by: Drbio
[quote]
[i]
Quote:
Originally posted by: Drbio


It will fail. These are the brightest minds in existence today in that field. Period.
Uh huh. And simply asserting it as so is very convincing.


[quote]
Originally posted by: Drbio
[quote]
[i]
Quote:
Originally posted by: Drbio

Obviously economists (like every discipline) will fall along a line of political partisanship, however, you just hit on one where liberals dominate and dominate overwhelmingly. I happen to know a couple of these professors personally and I can assure you that they would not describe themselves as republican.
Many of the people criticizing Bush's economic policies would hardly qualify as liberals either. In fact some of his staunchist critics are from the libertarian austrian school of economic thought, many are fiscal conservatives. What's your point?

[quote]
Originally posted by: Drbio
[quote]
[i]
Quote:
Originally posted by: Drbio

You cannot escape the fact that this is tremendously damning to sKerry. His butt is in full pucker mode right now to be sure.
As I just pointed out. No it isn't.

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Old 10-13-2004, 04:16 PM   #13
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Default RE: 368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Are you really that ignorant or just hard headed? First, there are 386 economists on that list. Not 310. Second, the VAST majority of them are liberal I assure you. I freely accept their informed opinion of the doomed for failure sKerry tax plan. The 56 respondents in your little post there are equally as liberal, but they are ones who chose to respond and that biases the result. Ergo, I am not dismissing them for their liberalism but rather because the polling is not designed to be representative. HUGE error.

Secondly, the 386 economists on that list are very well pedigreed. I see no reason to not applaud them for thier knowledge and ability. Stop trying to spin out of this. I won't let you go off on a tangent.

Thirdly, you have performed a kerry worthy spin on your Nobel economists above. They said that the tax cuts were not enough...they did not slam Bush's tax cuts per se. I doubt you are able to comprehend the difference, but please try.

Fourthly, I will take the word of 386 world leading economists over your "informed opinion" any day of the week and twice on Sunday. It is an assertion quite easy to make because it is factually solid.

Fifthly (seems like another arse whuppin' is in progress...sheesh), obviously a smaller percentage of any party will not agree with everything their party puts on the platform. What's your point? Oh yeah...you have none.

Finally.....deny it all you want to. You pointed out nothing but your intellectual failures. Kerry has been brutally beaten and exposed by the assertions fo the economists above. You don't have to agree with this fact, you just need to accept it. It won't change because you whined in this forum.

Loosen up the diaper, I know you've been brutaliszed in this forum over the last day or two....you need a rest.
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Old 10-13-2004, 04:18 PM   #14
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

I read the letter you're referring to, Epitome. They criticize Bush's plan but say very little about Kerry's plan, and certainly nothing specific in the way of analysis. The bottom line remains the same:

Taxes will go up for ALL Americans, the standard of living will go down, and the economy will stagnate and stop growing. Is that what anybody wants?
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Old 10-13-2004, 06:08 PM   #15
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

That's an interesting list of economists - but I think someone should've asked Ben Stein to not participate.
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Old 10-14-2004, 12:43 AM   #16
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Quote:
[i]Originally posted by: Drbio Are you really that ignorant or just hard headed? First, there are 386 economists on that list. Not 310.
LOL. I'm aware of that sir, there's no need to raise your blood pressure. the 310 refers to the number of people on that list who are University professors. The vast majority.


Quote:
[i]Originally posted by: Drbio
Second, the VAST majority of them are liberal I assure you.
Please don't be offended if I don't take your word for it.

Quote:
[i]Originally posted by: Drbio
I freely accept their informed opinion of the doomed for failure sKerry tax plan.
That's your perogative to do such. I will review the words of the esteemed economists about the weaknesses of Kerry's proposed economic policies as it relate's to Bush's, then I will review the words of the esteemed economists about the weaknesses of Bush's failed economic policies as they relate to Kerry's proposed policies. Then I will make a sound decision as an informed and responsible voter.



Quote:
[i]Originally posted by: Drbio

The 56 respondents in your little post there are equally as liberal, but they are ones who chose to respond and that biases the result.
So let me get this laid out. When economists express their dissatisfaction with Kerry's proposed economic policies and how they relate to Bush's, they are objective decisions using their vast uber intellects. When economists express their dissatisfaction with Bush's economic policies as they relate to Kerry's proposed policies they are expressing a 'liberal' bias. I just wanted to clear that up. [img]i/expressions/face-icon-small-wink.gif[/img]

Quote:
[i]Originally posted by: Drbio
Secondly, the 386 economists on that list are very well pedigreed. I see no reason to not applaud them for thier knowledge and ability. Stop trying to spin out of this. I won't let you go off on a tangent.
There are a number of very well respected and esteemed economists on that list I agree(as there are a number of very well respected and esteemed economists in Kerry's camp), but you are being intellectually dishonest when you try to paint them all as economic supermen with superior pedigree, standing and 'uberintellects'. The fact remains that there's far more 'Joe Economics professor' types on that list then there are Milton Friedmans. I have no doubt all the economists on the list are highly educated and capable. But most of them aren't the men you make them out to be.

Quote:
[i]Originally posted by: Drbio

Thirdly, you have performed a kerry worthy spin on your Nobel economists above. They said that the tax cuts were not enough...they did not slam Bush's tax cuts per se. I doubt you are able to comprehend the difference, but please try.
I've been reading over both articles repeatedly and I have yet to read anything by these economists where their main objection to the tax cuts was that they were too small. Perhaps you know something, or have access to something I don't. If you do, please show it to me. Otherwise, I wasn't trying to 'spin' anything and your accusation is false.


Quote:
[i]Originally posted by: Drbio
Fourthly, I will take the word of 386 world leading economists over your "informed opinion" any day of the week and twice on Sunday. It is an assertion quite easy to make because it is factually solid.
Well as it relates to matters of economics I would more than recommend that their opinion is certainly much more informed and solid than mine and never said anything to the contrary. My point is that the opinions of these economists (some of them, very esteemed) in their support for Bush over Kerry, aren't worth anymore than the opinions of other equally esteemed economists, and their support for Kerry over Bush.

Quote:
[i]Originally posted by: Drbio

Fifthly (seems like another arse whuppin' is in progress...sheesh), obviously a smaller percentage of any party will not agree with everything their party puts on the platform. What's your point? Oh yeah...you have none.
I really don't know what you are speaking about here.

Quote:
[i]Originally posted by: Drbio

Finally.....deny it all you want to. You pointed out nothing but your intellectual failures. Kerry has been brutally beaten and exposed by the assertions fo the economists above. You don't have to agree with this fact, you just need to accept it. It won't change because you whined in this forum.
I don't think he's been beaten at all, at least not any moreso than Bush. The fact that many economists, esteemed and otherwise, disagree so staunchly with his policies and favor Bush's; certainly seems troubling to a Kerry supporter. But as a Kerry supporter, I'm equally heartened by the fact that so many other economists, quite esteemed themselves, think that Kerry's economic plan is sound and productive and that Bush's is a disaster. You don't have to like the fact that so many esteemed economists, some of them nobel prize winners disagree with you, you just have to accept it, and realize that it floats up both streets.

Quote:
[i]Originally posted by: Drbio
Loosen up the diaper, I know you've been brutaliszed in this forum over the last day or two....you need a rest.
LOL. I appreciate the advice. But I assure you I'm quite fine. On the otherhand, if you can't control your temper more affectively, and can't keep large chunks of your replies from being bogged down with pointless, childish personal attacks, then perhaps you should take a break from this forum. More substance, less vitirol ok?

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Old 10-14-2004, 12:46 AM   #17
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Quote:
Originally posted by: kg_veteran
I read the letter you're referring to, Epitome. They criticize Bush's plan but say very little about Kerry's plan, and certainly nothing specific in the way of analysis. The bottom line remains the same:
I'm not sure what that bottom line is KG. Is it that Kerry's economic plans are worse? I haven't read much either on exactly what they like about Kerry's proposed policies, but they clearl regard them as superior to Bush's, and I doubt they would go to the trouble of using their esteemed names to endorse him if they didn't truly believe he had the superior plan.





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Old 10-14-2004, 12:47 AM   #18
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Default RE: 368 Economists against Kerrynomics

It's hopeless trying to hold a conversation with an ignorant fool like you epitome. You consistently ignore the most basic concept. I guess it's all you have left in your bag to live in ignorant bliss after being so thoroughyl deconstructed in this forum over the past several days.
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Old 10-14-2004, 12:52 AM   #19
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

Quote:
Originally posted by: Drbio
It's hopeless trying to hold a conversation with an ignorant fool like you epitome. You consistently ignore the most basic concept. I guess it's all you have left in your bag to live in ignorant bliss after being so thoroughyl deconstructed in this forum over the past several days.
I guess you didn't get the memo about more content and less vitirol.

Or my request for you to point out where the economists said the tax cuts should have been bigger.

Oh well.

Always a pleasure.

P.S. Careful with that temper.
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Old 10-14-2004, 09:48 AM   #20
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Default RE: 368 Economists against Kerrynomics

*Yawn*

I hope your heiny heals quickly from all your recent deconstructions in this forum. Try Bob's Butt Cream. I hear it does wonders.
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Old 10-14-2004, 10:44 AM   #21
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Default RE:368 Economists against Kerrynomics

What is very ironic is the above letter criticizes the Kerry economic proposals for their projected cost, yet the Bush proposals have just as high a price tag, with some groups saying the Bush proposals actually are a greater price tag than Kerry's.

It's odd that these economists don't mention the proposal by Kerry to reduce corporate tax rates, which would be a sure boost for hiring and investment.

I do agree with the assertion that entitlement programs should be reformed, yet to look at one of the largest- social security- the Bush proposal is disaster. As SS is a program where the current workers pay for the retired workers, if anyone can explain how allowing those who should be paying in to put that money into private accounts rather than SS accounts, while still having the money to pay the retirees, I would like to hear it.

No President actually creates jobs, they merely allow for business to have a healthy climate to add employees. Can Kerry allow for the positive business climate for his job numbers to happen? Depends...on the price of oil, on the business leaders to have a positive view going forward that has them ramping up production and expansion. So yes it could happen, but it really isn't up to whoever is Pres.

The one area that Bush has made proposals on that could be a strong economic boost is reforming the tax code. However, he has not made any concrete statements on how that would be done.
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Old 10-14-2004, 11:55 AM   #22
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Default RE: 368 Economists against Kerrynomics

I actually enjoyed reading that doggy. Don't agree with you but it was worth reading anyways.
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