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Old 08-29-2007, 06:19 PM   #1
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Default Pres Election Polling

A few polls showing...

Missouri is a classic swing state in Presidential elections. The candidate who wins the Show-Me State's Electoral Votes generally wins the White House.


Looking ahead to Election 2008, Senator Hillary Clinton attracts between 46% and 48% of the vote when matched against four top Republican hopefuls. She "leads" all four Republicans by single digit margins suggesting that Missouri voters will see more than their fair share of television commercials in 2008. Rudy Giuliani is closest to the Democratic frontrunner, trailing Clinton by just three percentage points (46% to 43%). Thompson and McCain each trail Clinton by six points it's Clinton 48% Thompson 42% and Clinton 46% McCain 40%. Mitt Romney is currently the weakest Republican in these match-ups trailing by nine points, 48% to 39%. The Governor's race is likely to be close as well.




In a Pennsylvania match-up of the early frontrunners, it's Hillary Clinton (D) 45% and Rudy Giuliani (R) 44%. A Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds Clinton with a four point edge over John McCain (44% to 40%), a seven point edge over Fred Thompson (47% to 40%), and a thirteen point edge over Mitt Romney (49% to 36%).




In a race between two New York politicians, New York voters stay with the party line and prefer Hillary Clinton over Rudy Giuliani by a twenty-five point margin, 58% to 33%.




Hillary Clinton leads both Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson by nearly ten percentage points in Illinois. However, a Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found that home-state Senator Barack Obama does far better and leads the GOP hopefuls by more than 20 percentage points. It’s Obama 56% Giuliani 33% and Obama 55% Thompson 34%.




The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone polls in the Buckeye State shows Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani leading Clinton by a statistically insignificant percentage point, 44% to 43%. Clinton leads another Republican hopeful, Fred Thompson, by the same insignificant margin, 44% to 43%. In an Ohio match-up between Clinton and Arizona Senator John McCain, Clinton holds a three-point edge, 44% to 41%. Clinton comfortably leads in Ohio only when matched against former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. In that hypothetical race, it’s Clinton by 12-percentage points, 48% to 36%.




The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone polls in Florida shows Clinton leading Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani by five, Fred Thompson by 13, John McCain by 14, and Mitt Romney by 22. Perhaps most significantly, Clinton’s support tops the 50% mark against all the candidates other than Giuliani (she leads Giuliani 49% to 44%). In national polling, Clinton struggles to reach the 50% mark because people have very strong feelings about her—both positive and negative.




Clinton leads all Republican challengers in Arkansas by huge double digit margins. The closest GOP hopeful is Rudy Giuliani, but he trails Clinton by eighteen percentage points, 55% to 37%. Clinton leads Fred Thompson by nineteen points (55% to 36%), John McCain by 23 points (56% to 33%), and Mitt Romney by 32 points (60% to 32%).




The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey show Clinton at 45% with Giuliani at 44%. Clinton holds slightly larger single-digit leads over other Republican hopefuls. She has a four-point edge over Fred Thompson (45% to 41%); a six-point advantage over John McCain (44% to 39%); and an eight point lead over Mitt Romney (46% to 38%). It is interesting to note how little Clinton’s support varies when matched against any of these Republicans.




Clinton leads Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani by nine percentage points (49% to 40%), Mitt Romney by ten (49% to 39%), Fred Thompson by thirteen (50% to 37%), and John McCain by thirteen (49% to 36%).




Clinton currently trails Arizona Senator John McCain by three percentage points. The former First Lady holds a statistically insignificant single point edge over both Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson while leading Mitt Romney by five.




Rudy Giuliani has a ten-point lead over New York Senator Hillary Clinton in race for Colorado’s nine Electoral Votes. It’s Giuliani 50%, Clinton 40%.

Arizona Senator John McCain leads Clinton by just three points while the former First Lady is essentially even with former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.


John Edwards


Democratic Senator John Edwards now holds solid leads over the two leading Republican Presidential hopefuls. The most recent Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows Edwards leading former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani 49% to 41%. Edwards dominates former Senator Fred Thompson 49% to 35%.
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