Rangers vs. Cardinals - WORLD SERIES!

[Dirkadirkastan]

Who cares if they aren't actually more successful, what matters is that emotionally it feels like they will be. Good point Dan, good point.

What was I thinking, looking at "facts"? Why would those be more relevant than gut instincts?

[Male30Dan]

Originally Posted by Dirkadirkastan

Who cares if they aren't actually more successful, what matters is that emotionally it feels like they will be. Good point Dan, good point.

What was I thinking, looking at "facts"? Why would those be more relevant than gut instincts?

So your entire stance is that a team that splits the first two games, wins both at home, has a 3-1 lead and moves on to the road has as good of a chance of closing the series out as...

a team that splits the first two games, wins both at home, has a 3-1 lead and has a final game at home?

This being the case because past results have turned out that way? Do you know how fucking stupid that makes you look?

By the way, next time in Vegas, hit the game of roulette up. Look for the amazingly hot table where one color has hit some X number of times in a row - preferably 6-10 times. Walk up and put all your money on that same color because, you know, history shows that is what will happen again.

[Dirkadirkastan]

Originally Posted by Male30Dan

So your entire stance is that a team that splits the first two games, wins both at home, has a 3-1 lead and moves on to the road has as good of a chance of closing the series out as...

a team that splits the first two games, wins both at home, has a 3-1 lead and has a final game at home?

This being the case because past results have turned out that way? Do you know how fucking stupid that makes you look?

That is not my entire stance. My entire stance involves weighing all possible benefits and risks associated having the middle three games at home and the last two on the road. Most people tend to obsess over one scenario and pretend it somehow dominates all others.

By the way, next time in Vegas, hit the game of roulette up. Look for the amazingly hot table where one color has hit some X number of times in a row - preferably 6-10 times. Walk up and put all your money on that same color because, you know, history shows that is what will happen again.

A pitiful misunderstanding of formulating and testing hypotheses.

[Male30Dan]

Originally Posted by Dirkadirkastan

That is not my entire stance. My entire stance involves weighing all possible benefits and risks associated having the middle three games at home and the last two on the road. Most people tend to obsess over one scenario and pretend it somehow dominates all others.



A pitiful misunderstanding of formulating and testing hypotheses.

Ugh... Answer this question... ANSWER IT WITHOUT PRANCING AROUND IT WITH STATS AND HYPERBOLE! JUST PICK ONE.

IF a team is up 3-1, would you rather play the 5th game at home where, if you lose, you have to play 2 games on the road; however, have a much higher chance to win that 5th game and the series

OR

...would you rather play the 5th game on the road where, if you lose, you still have a game to play at home; however, have a much higher chance of finding yourself only up 3 games to 2 instead of finishing out the series in 5 (and potentially allowing momentum from your opponent to be built)

Which?

I get that I am bypassing the chance of losing one of the first two games at home ouf of the 3, which would mean the lead is 2-2 going into game 5, but before going any further, I need to determine if you are an idiot or a complete moron. We can go from there...