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Old 10-02-2020, 11:28 AM   #1
DevinHarriswillstart
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Originally Posted by EricaLubarsky View Post
His numbers are 2% higher than they were when Covid hit. I don't think his Covid response has any appreciable impact on his base's support of him.

Political polls means very little. Thought most people learned that from 2016 when Hillary had a 90% chance of winning the election. And his base will support him no matter what. The undecideds however are the ones who determine elections.

Trump would run away with the election had it not been for covid. And of course, he still might win sadly.
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Old 10-02-2020, 11:53 AM   #2
EricaLubarsky
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Originally Posted by DevinHarriswillstart View Post
Political polls means very little. Thought most people learned that from 2016 when Hillary had a 90% chance of winning the election. And his base will support him no matter what. The undecideds however are the ones who determine elections.

Trump would run away with the election had it not been for covid. And of course, he still might win sadly.
I mean I'm looking at both likely voters and overall approval, but you're right. There is a zero percent chance that he wins popular vote (if all polls were accurate he'd lose by between 5-10million votes), but the chance that Trump repeats is probably 50-50 because of the electoral votes.

That's why this election feels awful. There's a good chance that Trump will win the election after losing by 8 million votes and even if he loses, he may refuse to step down and will attempt a coup or at least a tantrum.

Democracy is definitely dying.

Last edited by EricaLubarsky; 10-02-2020 at 11:55 AM.
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