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Old 08-18-2016, 01:56 PM   #1
GermanDunk
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I saw a twitter poll, yesterday. 50:50 and it were about 65.000 participants
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Old 08-18-2016, 04:34 PM   #2
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I saw a twitter poll, yesterday. 50:50 and it were about 65.000 participants
Yeah, it's going to be a close election votes-wise. But for Trump to win the electoral battle, he has to win a blue state that is currently leaning blue. If he doesn't, then he is certain to lose...even if he wins every current battleground state.
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Old 08-18-2016, 05:43 PM   #3
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Trump Statue Erected in Union Square

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Old 08-18-2016, 05:47 PM   #4
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Trump Statue Erected in Union Square
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Old 08-18-2016, 06:44 PM   #5
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Yeah, it's going to be a close election votes-wise. But for Trump to win the electoral battle, he has to win a blue state that is currently leaning blue. If he doesn't, then he is certain to lose...even if he wins every current battleground state.
You mean, one democratic state would do ?

Yeah, that is a problem in a democracy in general. The rural areas can pick as they like, the densely populated areas will prevail. That matter is in the discussion in Germany as well, because some mean, the citizens elect the percentage only. ( A party that sends more directly elected representatives from the ~counties can add some seats in certain circumstances, which gives the direct vote more weight and strenghtens the "normal" areas a bit - until the representatives have add some kilogramm weight on the Lobbyists tables, of course )

Only the Britains taught London a lesson.
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Old 08-18-2016, 05:42 PM   #6
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I saw a twitter poll, yesterday. 50:50 and it were about 65.000 participants
Twitter is an unreliable source since those polls pass through personal networks, which tend to contain like-minded individuals... Not to mention that it's an international platform -- how many of those participants were even American?

RealClearPolitics is a much more reliable non-partisan polling tracker, but it can be a bit tough to decipher... Better yet is the New York Times tracker which breaks down all the national polls (Rasmussen, Pew, Zogby, etc) into a simple aggregate weighed on recency and sample size.

Spoiler alert: it ain't 50:50.
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Old 08-18-2016, 06:46 PM   #7
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Twitter is an unreliable source since those polls pass through personal networks, which tend to contain like-minded individuals... Not to mention that it's an international platform -- how many of those participants were even American?
...

Spoiler alert: it ain't 50:50.
Nah, i don´t rely on twitter. I just found it funny, that it is all square given the high number of participants.
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